Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen, 25 October 2026 · 14:30 at SNP Arena (Sinsheim), with D. Siebert officiating. The odds point to Bayer Leverkusen (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. 1899 Hoffenheim lie 13th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (3W 0D 5L); Bayer Leverkusen lie 6th, having collected 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, 1899 Hoffenheim average 1.8 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 2.7 for and 1.5 against for Bayer Leverkusen.
- Form in the competition. 1899 Hoffenheim: 2W 0D 4L, goals 11–14; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. In 33 previous meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 10 wins to Bayer Leverkusen's 17 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 47–59.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (8.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 72%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 33; 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, 6 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 11–14, Bayer Leverkusen 16–9.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
- Unavailable: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, top price 2.15). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for 1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen will be without: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.28 | 4.42 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 4.15 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.51 | 26.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.76 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.30 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.50 | 3.39 | 27.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:38. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 13th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 4L (11:14), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 33 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 10W 6D 17L, goals 47–59.
- Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: injuries and missing players
1899 Hoffenheim
- N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
- P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Conteinjury · doubtful
Bayer Leverkusen
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Culbreathfoot injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
1899 Hoffenheim
Home and away
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: last matches of both teams
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
1899 HoffenheimLWWLLBayer LeverkusenLLWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Over 3.5 goals (1.86); Bayer Leverkusen to win (2.10).
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our estimate gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 47%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:30, venue SNP Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: D. Siebert.
Who will be missing?
1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32) and under 2.5 goals at 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 72% (odds 1.30).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (8.4%), then 1–1 (8.0%) and 2–2 (7.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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