Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg (Bundesliga, 7 November 2026, 14:30): FC Augsburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.82. Second tip: Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.73. The bookmakers' odds give RB Leipzig 66%, the draw 18% and FC Augsburg 16%. The most likely score is 2–1.
Wins: FC Augsburg win, a draw, FC Augsburg lose by 1. Loses: FC Augsburg lose by 2 or more.
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg preview and prediction
Our tip for RB Leipzig against FC Augsburg on 7 November 2026 is FC Augsburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.81 (chance 55%). Leipzig are strong favourites, and we are not arguing against that. We are backing the visitors to keep the margin under two goals, and at this price that is a bet we are happy to make.
The key facts
- Likely result: RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: RB Leipzig 4th (15 points), FC Augsburg 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: RB Leipzig 5W 0D 3L (22:11), FC Augsburg 2W 3D 3L (18:15).
- H2H: 24 matches: RB Leipzig 14W 7D 3L, goals 48–20.
- Absences: RB Leipzig 0, FC Augsburg 0.
Leipzig at home, Augsburg on the road
In this competition Leipzig have 15 points from eight matches, with five wins, no draws and three defeats, and goals of 22:11. Their home record is the figure that catches the eye: four wins from four, 18 goals scored and none conceded. Augsburg sit tenth with 9 points from eight matches, two wins, three draws and three defeats, and goals of 18:15. Away from home they have one win, no draws and two defeats, with nine scored and eight conceded. These are this competition's figures only, and they paint a clear picture of a side that dominates at home and a side that is hard to beat but rarely wins on the road.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Recent results tell a rougher story
Across all competitions, Leipzig's last five matches brought three wins and two defeats, with 9 goals scored and 10 conceded. The defeats were a 6-1 loss at Bayern München and a 4-1 loss at Real Madrid, and both came away from home. Augsburg's last five in all competitions are harder to read: no wins, two draws, three defeats, 9 goals scored and 12 conceded. Those included a 3-2 defeat at Werder Bremen and a 4-3 defeat at SV Elversberg, so Augsburg have been losing games they were in, rather than being blown away. That is the kind of record we like when a side is priced as a heavy underdog.
Goals scored and conceded per match
Per match in this competition, Leipzig score 2.8 and concede 1.4, while Augsburg score 2.3 and concede 1.9. Those numbers explain why the market expects a game with goals in it. Leipzig are the sharper attack, but Augsburg are not a side that shuts up shop. The expected goals split is around 3 for Leipzig and 1 for Augsburg, which points to a home win, and our interest is in how many goals the visitors can grab on the way.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
RB Leipzig
Home and away
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: last matches of both teams
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Meetings lean heavily towards Leipzig
Leipzig have won 14 of the last 24 meetings, drawn seven and lost three, scoring 48 goals to Augsburg's 20. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 to Leipzig on 7 March 2026, and the 6-0 win on 25 October 2025 was the heaviest of the recent results. The record is lopsided, but Augsburg have not been humiliated every time. The 2-2 draw in Augsburg on 10 February 2024 shows they can still take a point from this fixture, and the 0-0 draw on 14 February 2025 was another game where the visitors held firm.
Head to head
All matchesRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: injuries and missing players
RB Leipzig
- No reported absences
FC Augsburg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
No absences on either side
No absences have been reported for either club, so we expect both teams at full strength. That takes the injury question off the table and leaves us with the form, the home record and the market.
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.50 | 5.60 | 6.23 |
| Market average | 1.45 | 5.27 | 5.86 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.80 | 5.32 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.06 | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.84 | 24.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.68 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.0% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.90 | 32.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RB LeipzigWWLWLFC AugsburgLDLDLWhy 2-1 is the likeliest score, and why it matters
The most likely exact score is 2-1 to Leipzig at 8.8%, followed by 3-1 at 7.6% and 1-1 at 6.8%. Our main tip wins on 2-1, 1-1 and 2-2, and it loses on 3-1, 2-0 and 3-0. So the bet is alive in any game where Leipzig win by one goal, and it is also alive in a draw or a 2-2. It is dead only when Leipzig win by two or more. The market's chance of 55% is the number we are backing, and the best odds of 1.81 are the price we take. It is a narrow call, but a one-goal margin is enough for us.
Our second tip: Over 3.5 goals
Our second tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds 1.73 (chance 57%). Leipzig have had more than 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches in all competitions, and Augsburg have had more than 2.5 in four of theirs. The expected total is about four goals, and the market gives the line 57%. The bet wins on 3-1 and 2-2, and it loses on 2-1, 1-1, 2-0 and 3-0. We do not think it is comfortable, because the single likeliest score, 2-1, loses it, but the arithmetic of both teams' recent games supports it better than the under.
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Other bets we would consider
Both teams to score at odds 1.40 (chance 68%) is a bet we like alongside our main tip, because Augsburg's scoring rate of 2.3 per match points towards goals at both ends. FC Augsburg +2 at odds 1.46 (chance 67%) is the cautious way to back the visitors. At +2 the bet wins unless Augsburg lose by 3 or more, and a defeat by exactly 2 returns the stake. We would take it if we wanted less risk than the main tip, though the price is lower. Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.29 (chance 75%) is the safest route into the goals theme, and it sits comfortably with both our tips.
We are backing Augsburg to keep this within a goal because their away games have been close, their defence has not been blown open every week, and the market's 55% is the number we believe. Leipzig's home record is the reason the bet is not a certainty, and that is why the stake should reflect it.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
FC Augsburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Over 3.5 goals (1.73).
Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
Our estimate gives RB Leipzig a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Augsburg 16%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 14:30, venue Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Referee: Daniel Schlager.
Who will be missing?
RB Leipzig: no absences. FC Augsburg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 25% (odds 4.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (8.8%), then 3–1 (7.8%) and 2–0 (6.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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