Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
RB Leipzig welcome SV Elversberg on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at Red Bull Arena (Leipzig), and the referee is B. Dankert. RB Leipzig (67%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: SV Elversberg win, a draw, SV Elversberg lose by 1. Loses: SV Elversberg lose by 2 or more.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. RB Leipzig lie 4th, having collected 15 points after 8 matches (5W 0D 3L); SV Elversberg lie 7th, having collected 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, RB Leipzig average 2.7 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.8 against for SV Elversberg.
- Form in the competition. RB Leipzig: 3W 0D 3L, goals 16–11; SV Elversberg: 3W 1D 2L, goals 12–11.
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, RB Leipzig have taken 2 wins to SV Elversberg's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–1.
What to expect
In our view RB Leipzig hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (8.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 66%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 75%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; RB Leipzig 2 wins, 0 draws, SV Elversberg 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: RB Leipzig 16–11, SV Elversberg 12–11.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
- Unavailable: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 44%, top price 2.23). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. SV Elversberg will be without: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.45 | 5.80 | 6.67 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 5.38 | 6.29 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.80 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.72 | 25.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.71 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.78 | 33.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: RB Leipzig 2–1 SV Elversberg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: RB Leipzig 4th (15 points), SV Elversberg 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 3L (16:11), SV Elversberg 3W 1D 2L (12:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: RB Leipzig 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–1.
- Absences: RB Leipzig 2, SV Elversberg 4.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: injuries and missing players
RB Leipzig
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
SV Elversberg
- L. Seifertankle injury · will miss the match
- T. Zimmerschiedankle injury · will miss the match
- N. Darvichinjury · doubtful
- F. Onyekafoot injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
RB Leipzig
Home and away
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: last matches of both teams
RB Leipzig
SV Elversberg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
RB LeipzigWWLWLSV ElversbergWLWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
SV Elversberg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 3.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Our estimate gives RB Leipzig a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and SV Elversberg 15%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:30, venue Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Referee: B. Dankert.
Who will be missing?
RB Leipzig: M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. SV Elversberg: L. Seifert, T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, F. Onyeka. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.29) and under 2.5 goals at 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (8.9%), then 3–1 (7.8%) and 2–0 (7.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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