Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 welcome RB Leipzig on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen), and the referee is M. Burda. RB Leipzig (51%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Schalke 04 lie 17th, having collected 6 points after 8 matches (1W 3D 4L); RB Leipzig lie 4th, having collected 15 points (5W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Schalke 04 average 0.6 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 2.9 for and 1.6 against for RB Leipzig.
- Form in the competition. FC Schalke 04: 1W 3D 3L, goals 4–7; RB Leipzig: 4W 0D 3L, goals 20–11.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, FC Schalke 04 have taken 2 wins to RB Leipzig's 9 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–32.
What to expect
In our view RB Leipzig hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; FC Schalke 04 2 wins, 2 draws, RB Leipzig 9 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Schalke 04 4–7, RB Leipzig 20–11.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: FC Schalke 04 7, RB Leipzig 3.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Schalke 04: J. Bachmann, S. El-Faouzi, A. Gantenbein, R. Gosens, M. Sylla, L. Vozar, M. Wober. RB Leipzig will be without: M. Esteve, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.07 | 4.11 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 3.89 | 3.84 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.29 | 3.58 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 14:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Schalke 04 1–1 RB Leipzig, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points), RB Leipzig 4th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Schalke 04 1W 3D 3L (4:7), RB Leipzig 4W 0D 3L (20:11).
- H2H: 13 matches: FC Schalke 04 2W 2D 9L, goals 11–32.
- Absences: FC Schalke 04 7, RB Leipzig 3.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: injuries and missing players
FC Schalke 04
- J. Bachmannhip injury · will miss the match
- S. El-Faouziabsence · will miss the match
- A. Gantenbeinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Gosensabsence · will miss the match
- M. Syllaabsence · will miss the match
- L. Vozarillness · will miss the match
- M. Wobermuscle injury · will miss the match
RB Leipzig
- M. Esteveknock · will miss the match
- M. Guiuhamstring injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouedraogoshoulder injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Schalke 04
Home and away
FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig: last matches of both teams
FC Schalke 04
RB Leipzig
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FC Schalke 04LDLLDRB LeipzigWWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Under 3.5 goals (1.70); RB Leipzig to win (1.93).
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig?
Our estimate gives FC Schalke 04 a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 51%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:30, venue Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Referee: M. Burda.
Who will be missing?
FC Schalke 04: J. Bachmann, S. El-Faouzi, A. Gantenbein, R. Gosens, M. Sylla, L. Vozar, M. Wober. RB Leipzig: M. Esteve, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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