Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1. FC Köln welcome FC Schalke 04 on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne), and the referee is H. Osmers. 1. FC Köln (46%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: FC Schalke 04 win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): FC Schalke 04 lose by 1. Loses: FC Schalke 04 lose by 2 or more.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. 1. FC Köln lie 14th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L); FC Schalke 04 lie 17th, having collected 6 points (1W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, 1. FC Köln average 1.3 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 0.7 for and 1.2 against for FC Schalke 04.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–11; FC Schalke 04: 1W 2D 3L, goals 4–7.
- Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have taken 11 wins to FC Schalke 04's 5 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 38–32.
What to expect
In our view 1. FC Köln hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 24; 1. FC Köln 11 wins, 8 draws, FC Schalke 04 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: 1. FC Köln 8–11, FC Schalke 04 4–7.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: 1. FC Köln 5, FC Schalke 04 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for 1. FC Köln: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg, R. Ache. FC Schalke 04 will be without: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic, R. Schallenberg, M. Sylla, M. Wober. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.15 | 3.92 | 3.47 |
| Market average | 2.08 | 3.74 | 3.32 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.59 | 36.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Schalke 04, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1. FC Köln 14th (9 points), FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 3L (8:11), FC Schalke 04 1W 2D 3L (4:7).
- H2H: 24 matches: 1. FC Köln 11W 8D 5L, goals 38–32.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 5, FC Schalke 04 5.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: injuries and missing players
1. FC Köln
- T. Dallingaknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Hubersknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Skhiriankle injury · will miss the match
- R. van den Bergmuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Achethigh injury · doubtful
FC Schalke 04
- K. Karamanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Ljubicicknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Schallenbergabsence · will miss the match
- M. Syllaabsence · will miss the match
- M. Wobermuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
1. FC Köln
Home and away
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: last matches of both teams
1. FC Köln
FC Schalke 04
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnDDLWLFC Schalke 04LDLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
FC Schalke 04 +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
Our estimate gives 1. FC Köln a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Schalke 04 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:30, venue RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne. Referee: H. Osmers.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg, R. Ache. FC Schalke 04: K. Karaman, D. Ljubicic, R. Schallenberg, M. Sylla, M. Wober. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.0%), then 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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