Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 14:30 at An der Alten Försterei (Berlin), Union Berlin take on 1. FC Köln, with R. Hempel in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: 1. FC Köln win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: 1. FC Köln lose.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Union Berlin lie 16th, having collected 7 points after 8 matches (1W 4D 3L); 1. FC Köln lie 14th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Union Berlin average 0.9 goals for and 2.6 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.6 against for 1. FC Köln.
- Form in the competition. Union Berlin: 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–18; 1. FC Köln: 2W 2D 3L, goals 8–11.
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, Union Berlin have taken 10 wins to 1. FC Köln's 7 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 28–30.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; Union Berlin 10 wins, 5 draws, 1. FC Köln 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Union Berlin 6–18, 1. FC Köln 8–11.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Union Berlin 5, 1. FC Köln 6.
Alternative tip: Draw or 1. FC Köln (X2)
Another angle: Draw or 1. FC Köln (X2) (probability 65%, top price 1.52). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, R. Skov, F. Uduokhai. 1. FC Köln will be without: R. Ache, T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, I. Rondic, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.84 | 3.78 | 2.61 |
| Market average | 2.68 | 3.51 | 2.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.32 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.72 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.14 | 44.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.73 | 34.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:44. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Union Berlin 1–1 1. FC Köln, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Union Berlin 16th (7 points), 1. FC Köln 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Union Berlin 1W 3D 3L (6:18), 1. FC Köln 2W 2D 3L (8:11).
- H2H: 22 matches: Union Berlin 10W 5D 7L, goals 28–30.
- Absences: Union Berlin 5, 1. FC Köln 6.
Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: injuries and missing players
Union Berlin
- A. Ilicillness · will miss the match
- A. Markgrafknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Nsokimuscle injury · will miss the match
- R. Skovinjury · will miss the match
- F. Uduokhaired card · will miss the match
1. FC Köln
- R. Achethigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Dallingaknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Hubersknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Rondicinjury · will miss the match
- E. Skhiriankle injury · will miss the match
- R. van den Bergmuscle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
Union Berlin
Home and away
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: last matches of both teams
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Union BerlinDDDWL1. FC KölnDDLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
1. FC Köln +0 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?
Our estimate gives Union Berlin a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and 1. FC Köln 37%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 14:30, venue An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Referee: R. Hempel.
Who will be missing?
Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, R. Skov, F. Uduokhai. 1. FC Köln: R. Ache, T. Dallinga, T. Hubers, I. Rondic, E. Skhiri, R. van den Berg. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.77) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 1–2 (8.5%) and 0–1 (8.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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