Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Augsburg welcome Union Berlin on 24 October 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg), and the referee is R. Braun. FC Augsburg (55%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Union Berlin win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Union Berlin lose by 1. Loses: Union Berlin lose by 2 or more.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Augsburg lie 11th, having collected 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L); Union Berlin lie 16th, having collected 7 points (1W 4D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Augsburg average 2.7 goals for and 2.0 against, compared with 0.8 for and 2.8 against for Union Berlin.
- Form in the competition. FC Augsburg: 2W 2D 2L, goals 16–12; Union Berlin: 1W 2D 3L, goals 5–17.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, FC Augsburg have taken 6 wins to Union Berlin's 5 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 19–18.
What to expect
In our view FC Augsburg hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; FC Augsburg 6 wins, 6 draws, Union Berlin 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Augsburg 16–12, Union Berlin 5–17.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.78). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Union Berlin will be without: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.81 | 4.41 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.75 | 4.17 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.70 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.69 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.43 | 64.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 11th (9 points), Union Berlin 16th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Augsburg 2W 2D 2L (16:12), Union Berlin 1W 2D 3L (5:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: FC Augsburg 6W 6D 5L, goals 19–18.
- Absences: FC Augsburg 3, Union Berlin 5.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: injuries and missing players
FC Augsburg
- N. Banksknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Mounieinjury · will miss the match
- A. Claude-Mauricemuscle injury · doubtful
Union Berlin
- A. Ilicillness · will miss the match
- A. Markgrafknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Nsokimuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Imeriinjury · doubtful
- J. JuranovicAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Augsburg
Home and away
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: last matches of both teams
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FC AugsburgLDLDLUnion BerlinDDDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Union Berlin +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our estimate gives FC Augsburg a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union Berlin 23%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:30, venue WWK Arena, Augsburg. Referee: R. Braun.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: N. Banks, S. Mounie, A. Claude-Maurice. Union Berlin: A. Ilic, A. Markgraf, S. Nsoki, K. Imeri, J. Juranovic. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.79).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.47).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 1–1 (9.3%) and 2–0 (7.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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