Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29, 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), with C. Turpin officiating. The odds point to Lille (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lille lie 2nd, having collected 18 points after 9 matches (5W 3D 1L); Stade Brestois 29 lie 11th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
What to expect
In our view Lille hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 58%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lille: no absences. Stade Brestois 29 will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.08 | 3.78 | 3.72 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.62 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.72 | 34.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Stade Brestois 29 11th (12 points).
- Absences: Lille 0, Stade Brestois 29 0.
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: injuries and missing players
Lille
- No reported absences
Stade Brestois 29
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lille
Home and away
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: last matches of both teams
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Draw or Stade Brestois 29 (X2) (1.84); Under 3.5 goals (1.46).
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our estimate gives Lille a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stade Brestois 29 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: C. Turpin.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Stade Brestois 29: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.79) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 1–0 (9.5%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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