Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29, 2 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient), with Jeremie Pignard officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Lorient win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Lorient lose.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lorient lie 12th, having collected 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L); Stade Brestois 29 lie 11th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lorient average 0.9 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.8 for and 1.5 against for Stade Brestois 29.
- Form in the competition. Lorient: 3W 3D 2L, goals 7–6; Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 3L, goals 14–12.
- Head to head. In 28 previous meetings, Lorient have taken 11 wins to Stade Brestois 29's 12 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 39–42.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 28; Lorient 11 wins, 5 draws, Stade Brestois 29 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lorient 7–6, Stade Brestois 29 14–12.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
- Unavailable: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Stade Brestois 29 will be without: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.62 | 3.24 | 3.08 |
| Market average | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.18 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.93 | 23.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 2/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 12th (12 points), Stade Brestois 29 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Lorient 3W 3D 2L (7:6), Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 3L (14:12).
- H2H: 28 matches: Lorient 11W 5D 12L, goals 39–42.
- Absences: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: injuries and missing players
Lorient
- B. Fadigamuscle injury · will miss the match
- P. Katserismuscle injury · will miss the match
Stade Brestois 29
- B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
- G. Versiniabsence · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
Home and away
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: last matches of both teams
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LorientLDWWLStade Brestois 29WLDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lorient +0 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our estimate gives Lorient a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Stade Brestois 29 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 2 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: Jeremie Pignard.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.26) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.