Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre (Ligue 1, 20 November 2026, 19:45): Estac Troyes +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.63. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.67. The bookmakers' odds give Estac Troyes 45%, the draw 27% and Le Havre 28%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Estac Troyes win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Estac Troyes lose.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre preview and prediction
Our pick for Troyes versus Le Havre on 20 November 2026 at 19:45 is Estac Troyes +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.63, which implies a 61% market probability. The bet cashes if the home side win, and it should be treated as a single-stake selection rather than something to chase, since the price is short and a draw returns the stake.
The key facts
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Havre 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: Estac Troyes 2W 2D 5L (7:16), Le Havre 0W 2D 7L (9:20).
- Absences: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.
Troyes at home, where the record is thin
Troyes are 16th in the league table with 8 points from 9 games: 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, 7 goals scored and 16 conceded. Their home record is a touch better but hardly convincing, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, 5 goals scored and 11 let in. That is hardly the record of a team that dominates opponents on its own pitch.
Over their previous five games across every competition, Troyes managed just one win and one draw, suffering three defeats while netting 3 goals and letting in 7. The 2-0 victory at home against Le Mans on 31 October stands out as the performance to cite first. Looking at this competition alone, Troyes average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals let in per game, and that still makes them the more reliable side defensively of the two.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Le Havre's five straight defeats
Le Havre sit 18th in the table with 2 points from 9 matches: no wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have managed 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Figures this modest on the road are why we feel little concern about the trip.
Form across all competitions is the bigger story here. Le Havre have dropped their last five matches, netting 7 goals while letting in 16. The worst of those came at home, a 1-5 reverse to PSG on 30 October. Within this tournament, their scoring rate sits at 1.0 per game and they concede 2.2, which is why we think the contest will turn on the defence.
No meeting on file and no absences
These two clubs have never met before as far as we can tell, so there is no head-to-head trend to lean on. Neither team has any reported injuries or suspensions, meaning recent results and league standing are the only dependable indicators, and both favour the home team.
Why we back Troyes to win
The main tip is built on three factors. Le Havre come into this game on a losing run with not a single win in it, and they sit 18th in the table of this competition. The bookmakers' prices point the same way on the overall picture of the match.
- Le Havre have gone five matches in all competitions without a single win.
- Le Havre sit 18th in this competition, the lower of the two league positions.
- The market chance of 61% is the strongest signal we have for the home side.
Stick to a single unit here. The 1-1 scoreline is the most probable outcome on the board, yet at 1.63 it only gives back the stake with no gain, leaving very little room for error.
Both teams to score, and the stake we would use
Our runner-up selection is Both teams to score, priced at 1.67, which the market puts at roughly 57%. Le Havre have found the net in four of their last five outings and blanked in just one, meaning the away side's firepower survives even while they are on a poor run. An expected total near three goals points the same way. Victory comes on 1-1, 2-1 or 1-2; defeat on 1-0, 2-0 or 0-1. A reasonable backup pick, though stake less on it than on the headline tip.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: last matches of both teams
Estac Troyes
Le Havre
Other bets we would consider
Cautious bettors can back Estac Troyes or draw (1X) at odds 1.37, a selection the market rates at 72%, which also wins on a 1-1 scoreline that only returns the stake on our main tip. Estac Troyes +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.23 gives the hosts even more protection: split the stake evenly between Troyes +0.5 and Troyes +1, so a single-goal loss takes back only half of the stake. Punters who expect the visitors to keep things tight can take Le Havre +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.26, which pays out in every outcome except a defeat by two or more goals. Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27 matches the goals theme of our second tip, with a market chance of 76%.
Bookmaker odds put Troyes at 45% to win, Le Havre at 28% and the draw at 27%. The scorelines the market rates most probable are 1-1 at 11.9%, 1-0 at 9.9% and 2-1 at 9.2%. These figures reflect what the market anticipates, not a guarantee. Our lean toward a Troyes win rests on Le Havre having lost every recent match and conceding more easily at the back, so we would recommend restrained stake sizing.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.20 | 3.76 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.11 | 3.57 | 3.34 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.04 | 47.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.98 | 31.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.5%.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: injuries and missing players
Estac Troyes
- No reported absences
Le Havre
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Estac TroyesWDLLLLe HavreLLLLLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Estac Troyes +0 (Asian handicap) (1.63); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Our estimate gives Estac Troyes a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Le Havre 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: no absences. Le Havre: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.87) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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