Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ascoli vs Palermo, 6 November 2026 · 19:30 at Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno), with Rapuano Andrea officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Ascoli vs Palermo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Ascoli lie 2nd, having collected 20 points after 11 matches (5W 5D 1L); Palermo lie 1st, having collected 27 points (8W 3D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Ascoli average 1.6 goals for and 0.6 against, compared with 2.4 for and 1.2 against for Palermo.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 5W 4D 1L, goals 16–6; Palermo: 8W 2D 0L, goals 24–12.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Ascoli have taken 1 win to Palermo's 5 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–16.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Palermo 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Ascoli 16–6, Palermo 24–12.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Ascoli 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Ascoli: no absences. Palermo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Ascoli vs Palermo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.96 | 3.50 | 2.52 |
| Market average | 2.81 | 3.35 | 2.40 |
| Lowest odds | 2.61 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.68 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.85 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.37 | 39.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 18:42. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 2nd (20 points), Palermo 1st (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 5W 4D 1L (16:6), Palermo 8W 2D 0L (24:12).
- H2H: 8 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Ascoli vs Palermo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Ascoli vs Palermo: injuries and missing players
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Ascoli vs Palermo: last matches of both teams
Ascoli
Palermo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AscoliDDWWDPalermoDWDWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Ascoli vs Palermo?
Over 2.5 goals (1.76); Draw or Palermo (X2) (1.45).
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
Our estimate gives Ascoli a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Palermo 39%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 19:30, venue Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno. Referee: Rapuano Andrea.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Palermo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.6%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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