Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli, 24 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro), with Andrea Calzavara, Italy officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Ascoli win, a draw. Loses: Ascoli lose.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Catanzaro lie 20th, having collected 6 points after 10 matches (1W 3D 6L); Ascoli lie 2nd, having collected 20 points (5W 5D 1L).
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have taken 1 win to Ascoli's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 4–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Ascoli, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.65), which we give a 59% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Catanzaro 1 win, 0 draws, Ascoli 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.3 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Catanzaro 0, Ascoli 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.81). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Catanzaro: no absences. Ascoli will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.51 | 3.40 | 2.99 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.29 | 2.81 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.21 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.74 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.06 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.04 | 2.80 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 11:23. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Catanzaro 1–1 Ascoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Catanzaro 20th (6 points), Ascoli 2nd (20 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: Catanzaro 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–9.
- Absences: Catanzaro 0, Ascoli 0.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: injuries and missing players
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Catanzaro
Home and away
Catanzaro vs Ascoli: last matches of both teams
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Ascoli +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.60); Both teams to score (1.65).
Who will win Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Our estimate gives Catanzaro a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ascoli 33%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 16:15, venue Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Catanzaro: no absences. Ascoli: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.81) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.09).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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