Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno), Ascoli take on Sampdoria, with Marco Di Bello in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Ascoli lie 2nd, having collected 20 points after 11 matches (5W 5D 1L); Sampdoria lie 19th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Ascoli average 1.8 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.0 for and 2.0 against for Sampdoria.
- Form in the competition. Ascoli: 4W 3D 1L, goals 14–6; Sampdoria: 1W 2D 5L, goals 8–16.
- Head to head. In 4 previous meetings, Ascoli have taken 1 win to Sampdoria's 1 win, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–5.
What to expect
In our view Ascoli hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.2%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 4; Ascoli 1 win, 2 draws, Sampdoria 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Ascoli 14–6, Sampdoria 8–16.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.94). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Ascoli: no absences. Sampdoria will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.38 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.90 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.12 | 29.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Ascoli 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ascoli 2nd (20 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Ascoli 4W 3D 1L (14:6), Sampdoria 1W 2D 5L (8:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Ascoli 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–5.
- Absences: Ascoli 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: injuries and missing players
Ascoli
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Ascoli
Home and away
Ascoli vs Sampdoria: last matches of both teams
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AscoliDDWWDSampdoriaWLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
Draw or Sampdoria (X2) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Ascoli vs Sampdoria?
Our estimate gives Ascoli a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sampdoria 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno. Referee: Marco Di Bello.
Who will be missing?
Ascoli: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.94) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.2%), then 1–0 (10.6%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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