Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Benevento vs Catanzaro, 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento), with Alberto Poli officiating. The odds point to Benevento (59%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Benevento win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Benevento win by 1. Loses: a draw, Benevento lose.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Benevento lie 6th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); Catanzaro lie 20th, having collected 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Benevento average 1.6 goals for and 0.9 against, compared with 1.1 for and 2.5 against for Catanzaro.
- Form in the competition. Benevento: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–7; Catanzaro: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–20.
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Benevento have taken 0 wins to Catanzaro's 0 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 1–1.
What to expect
In our view Benevento hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Benevento 0 wins, 1 draw, Catanzaro 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Benevento 13–7, Catanzaro 9–20.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Benevento 0, Catanzaro 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.66). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Benevento: no absences. Catanzaro will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.69 | 4.58 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.57 | 4.14 | 5.15 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 3.50 | 4.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.16 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.60 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.21 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 17:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Benevento 2–1 Catanzaro, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Benevento 6th (15 points), Catanzaro 20th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Benevento 4W 2D 2L (13:7), Catanzaro 1W 1D 6L (9:20).
- H2H: 1 match: Benevento 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Benevento 0, Catanzaro 0.
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Benevento vs Catanzaro: injuries and missing players
Benevento
- No reported absences
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Benevento
Home and away
Benevento vs Catanzaro: last matches of both teams
Benevento
Catanzaro
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BeneventoLDWDWCatanzaroDDLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Benevento -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Our estimate gives Benevento a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Catanzaro 18%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. Referee: Alberto Poli.
Who will be missing?
Benevento: no absences. Catanzaro: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.66) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.39).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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