Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cremonese welcome Benevento on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona), and the referee is Livio Marinelli. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Cremonese vs Benevento: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cremonese lie 11th, having collected 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L); Benevento lie 6th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Cremonese average 0.9 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 1.6 for and 0.9 against for Benevento.
- Form in the competition. Cremonese: 2W 3D 4L, goals 8–11; Benevento: 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–8.
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Cremonese have taken 2 wins to Benevento's 3 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–7.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Cremonese 2 wins, 2 draws, Benevento 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Cremonese 8–11, Benevento 14–8.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
- Unavailable: Cremonese 0, Benevento 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cremonese: no absences. Benevento will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cremonese vs Benevento: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.85 | 3.25 | 2.74 |
| Market average | 2.69 | 3.12 | 2.61 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.30 | 71.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 07:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cremonese 1–1 Benevento, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cremonese 11th (12 points), Benevento 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Cremonese 2W 3D 4L (8:11), Benevento 4W 3D 2L (14:8).
- H2H: 7 matches: Cremonese 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Cremonese 0, Benevento 0.
Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cremonese vs Benevento: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cremonese vs Benevento: injuries and missing players
Cremonese
- No reported absences
Benevento
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 | |
| 2 | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Cremonese
Home and away
Cremonese vs Benevento: last matches of both teams
Cremonese
Benevento
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cremonese vs Benevento?
Cremonese or draw (1X) (1.52); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
Our estimate gives Cremonese a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Benevento 36%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona. Referee: Livio Marinelli.
Who will be missing?
Cremonese: no absences. Benevento: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08) and under 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.8%), then 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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