Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mantova vs Cremonese, 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova), with Rapuano Andrea officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Cremonese win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Cremonese lose.
Mantova vs Cremonese: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Mantova lie 4th, having collected 18 points after 10 matches (5W 3D 2L); Cremonese lie 11th, having collected 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Mantova average 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 0.8 for and 1.4 against for Cremonese.
- Form in the competition. Mantova: 5W 2D 1L, goals 14–8; Cremonese: 1W 3D 4L, goals 6–11.
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Mantova have taken 1 win to Cremonese's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 3–6.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Mantova 1 win, 0 draws, Cremonese 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Mantova 14–8, Cremonese 6–11.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Mantova 0, Cremonese 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Mantova: no absences. Cremonese will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Mantova vs Cremonese: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.39 | 3.30 | 3.26 |
| Market average | 2.30 | 3.17 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.29 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.32 | 28.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Mantova 1–1 Cremonese, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Mantova 4th (18 points), Cremonese 11th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Mantova 5W 2D 1L (14:8), Cremonese 1W 3D 4L (6:11).
- H2H: 3 matches: Mantova 1W 0D 2L, goals 3–6.
- Absences: Mantova 0, Cremonese 0.
Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Mantova vs Cremonese: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Mantova vs Cremonese: injuries and missing players
Mantova
- No reported absences
Cremonese
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Mantova
Home and away
Mantova vs Cremonese: last matches of both teams
Mantova
Cremonese
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MantovaDLWLWCremoneseWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Mantova vs Cremonese?
Cremonese +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Mantova vs Cremonese?
Our estimate gives Mantova a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cremonese 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova. Referee: Rapuano Andrea.
Who will be missing?
Mantova: no absences. Cremonese: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.06) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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