Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova, 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Comunale (Chiavari), with Paride Tremolada officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Virtus Entella lie 14th, having collected 10 points after 10 matches (2W 4D 4L); Mantova lie 4th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 2L).
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Virtus Entella have taken 1 win to Mantova's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–2.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Mantova, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Virtus Entella 1 win, 0 draws, Mantova 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
- Unavailable: Virtus Entella 0, Mantova 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Virtus Entella: no absences. Mantova will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.46 | 3.20 | 3.34 |
| Market average | 2.32 | 3.13 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.24 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.01 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.77 | 53.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.48 | 26.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.07 | 1.99 | 46.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 11:23. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Virtus Entella 1–1 Mantova, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Virtus Entella 14th (10 points), Mantova 4th (18 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: Virtus Entella 1W 0D 2L, goals 1–2.
- Absences: Virtus Entella 0, Mantova 0.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Virtus Entella vs Mantova: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Virtus Entella vs Mantova: injuries and missing players
Virtus Entella
- No reported absences
Mantova
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Virtus Entella
Home and away
Virtus Entella vs Mantova: last matches of both teams
Virtus Entella
Mantova
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
Under 2.5 goals (1.85); Virtus Entella or draw (1X) (1.37).
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Mantova?
Our estimate gives Virtus Entella a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mantova 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Referee: Paride Tremolada.
Who will be missing?
Virtus Entella: no absences. Mantova: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.11) and under 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 1–0 (11.1%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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