Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Virtus Entella welcome Avellino on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Comunale (Chiavari), and the referee is Simone Galipò. Virtus Entella (45%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Virtus Entella lie 14th, having collected 10 points after 10 matches (2W 4D 4L); Avellino lie 5th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Virtus Entella average 1.3 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.1 against for Avellino.
- Form in the competition. Virtus Entella: 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–9; Avellino: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–9.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Virtus Entella have taken 1 win to Avellino's 2 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 8–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Avellino, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Virtus Entella 1 win, 5 draws, Avellino 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Virtus Entella 10–9, Avellino 12–9.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
- Unavailable: Virtus Entella 0, Avellino 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Virtus Entella: no absences. Avellino will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.12 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.17 | 3.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 2.96 | 3.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.13 | 44.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.68 | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.05 | 3.76 | 24.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Virtus Entella 14th (10 points), Avellino 5th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Virtus Entella 2W 3D 3L (10:9), Avellino 3W 2D 3L (12:9).
- H2H: 8 matches: Virtus Entella 1W 5D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Virtus Entella 0, Avellino 0.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: injuries and missing players
Virtus Entella
- No reported absences
Avellino
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Virtus Entella
Home and away
Virtus Entella vs Avellino: last matches of both teams
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Virtus EntellaLDLWDAvellinoWDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Draw or Avellino (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.72).
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our estimate gives Virtus Entella a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Avellino 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Referee: Simone Galipò.
Who will be missing?
Virtus Entella: no absences. Avellino: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.24) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.72).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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