Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Palermo welcome Carrarese on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Renzo Barbera (Palermo), and the referee is Mattia Drigo. Palermo (66%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Palermo vs Carrarese: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Palermo lie 1st, having collected 27 points after 11 matches (8W 3D 0L); Carrarese lie 15th, having collected 10 points (3W 1D 6L).
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Palermo have taken 3 wins to Carrarese's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 9–3.
What to expect
In our view Palermo hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Palermo 3 wins, 1 draw, Carrarese 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Palermo: no absences. Carrarese will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Palermo vs Carrarese: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.45 | 5.01 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Palermo 2–0 Carrarese, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Palermo 1st (27 points), Carrarese 15th (10 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Palermo 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–3.
- Absences: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Palermo vs Carrarese: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Palermo vs Carrarese: injuries and missing players
Palermo
- No reported absences
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Palermo
Home and away
Palermo vs Carrarese: last matches of both teams
Palermo
Carrarese
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Palermo vs Carrarese?
Over 2.5 goals (1.60); Palermo to win (1.45).
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
Our estimate gives Palermo a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carrarese 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Renzo Barbera, Palermo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Palermo: no absences. Carrarese: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.60) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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