Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Arena Garibaldi (Pizza), Pisa take on Palermo, with Daniele Chiffi in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Pisa vs Palermo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Pisa lie 8th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); Palermo lie 1st, having collected 27 points (8W 3D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Pisa average 1.9 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 2.3 for and 1.0 against for Palermo.
- Form in the competition. Pisa: 4W 2D 2L, goals 15–10; Palermo: 7W 1D 0L, goals 18–8.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Pisa have taken 4 wins to Palermo's 1 win, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 22–14.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Palermo, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Pisa 4 wins, 3 draws, Palermo 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 4.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Pisa 15–10, Palermo 18–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Pisa: no absences. Palermo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Pisa vs Palermo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.34 | 3.38 | 3.21 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.32 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.68 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.37 | 39.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Pisa 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Pisa 8th (15 points), Palermo 1st (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Pisa 4W 2D 2L (15:10), Palermo 7W 1D 0L (18:8).
- H2H: 8 matches: Pisa 4W 3D 1L, goals 22–14.
- Absences: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Pisa vs Palermo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Pisa vs Palermo: injuries and missing players
Pisa
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Pisa
Home and away
Pisa vs Palermo: last matches of both teams
Pisa
Palermo
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PisaLDDWWPalermoDWDWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Pisa vs Palermo?
Over 2.5 goals (1.76); Pisa or draw (1X) (1.40).
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
Our estimate gives Pisa a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Palermo 31%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
Who will be missing?
Pisa: no absences. Palermo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.