Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), Wolves take on Portsmouth, with Edward Duckworth, England in charge. We make Wolves (60%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wolves vs Portsmouth: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Wolves lie 2nd, having collected 27 points after 14 matches (8W 3D 3L); Portsmouth lie 10th, having collected 22 points (6W 4D 4L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Wolves have taken 0 wins to Portsmouth's 0 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 1–1.
What to expect
In our view Wolves hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Wolves 0 wins, 1 draw, Portsmouth 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Wolves 0, Portsmouth 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Wolves: no absences. Portsmouth will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Wolves vs Portsmouth: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.60 | 4.35 | 6.00 |
| Market average | 1.56 | 4.12 | 5.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.14 | 2.94 | 31.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Wolves 1–0 Portsmouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wolves 2nd (27 points), Portsmouth 10th (22 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Wolves 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Wolves 0, Portsmouth 0.
Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Wolves vs Portsmouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Wolves vs Portsmouth: injuries and missing players
Wolves
- No reported absences
Portsmouth
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Wolves
Home and away
Wolves vs Portsmouth: last matches of both teams
Wolves
Portsmouth
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Wolves to win (1.60).
Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Our estimate gives Wolves a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portsmouth 17%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Referee: Edward Duckworth, England.
Who will be missing?
Wolves: no absences. Portsmouth: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (11.6%), then 2–0 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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