Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Wolves vs Cardiff, 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton), with Josh Smith officiating. The odds point to Wolves (60%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Wolves win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Wolves win by 1. Loses: a draw, Wolves lose.
Wolves vs Cardiff: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Wolves lie 2nd, having collected 27 points after 14 matches (8W 3D 3L); Cardiff lie 18th, having collected 15 points (3W 6D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Wolves average 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.4 against for Cardiff.
- Form in the competition. Wolves: 6W 3D 3L, goals 20–16; Cardiff: 3W 5D 4L, goals 19–17.
- Head to head. In 13 previous meetings, Wolves have taken 6 wins to Cardiff's 7 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–17.
What to expect
In our view Wolves hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 13; Wolves 6 wins, 0 draws, Cardiff 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Wolves 20–16, Cardiff 19–17.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
- Unavailable: Wolves 6, Cardiff 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 62%, top price 1.53). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, F. Lopez, B. Traore, B. Traore. Cardiff will be without: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Wolves vs Cardiff: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.70 | 4.75 | 5.47 |
| Market average | 1.58 | 4.42 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.53 | 3.78 | 3.89 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.69 | 34.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 | 44.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Wolves 2–1 Cardiff, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Wolves 2nd (27 points), Cardiff 18th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Wolves 6W 3D 3L (20:16), Cardiff 3W 5D 4L (19:17).
- H2H: 13 matches: Wolves 6W 0D 7L, goals 17–17.
- Absences: Wolves 6, Cardiff 5.
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Wolves vs Cardiff: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Wolves vs Cardiff: injuries and missing players
Wolves
- R. Jimenezknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Konanknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Djigagroin injury · doubtful
- F. Lopezcalf injury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
- B. Traoreinjury · doubtful
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Oshored card · will miss the match
- K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Wolves
Home and away
Wolves vs Cardiff: last matches of both teams
Wolves
Cardiff
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
WolvesWWWDWCardiffDLWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Wolves vs Cardiff?
Wolves -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Wolves vs Cardiff?
Our estimate gives Wolves a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff 19%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Referee: Josh Smith.
Who will be missing?
Wolves: R. Jimenez, G. Konan, N. Djiga, F. Lopez, B. Traore, B. Traore. Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.83).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.7%), then 1–1 (8.8%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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