Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff), Cardiff take on West Ham, with Edward Duckworth in charge. We make West Ham (50%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: West Ham win. Loses: a draw, West Ham lose.
Cardiff vs West Ham: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cardiff lie 18th, having collected 15 points after 14 matches (3W 6D 5L); West Ham lie 8th, having collected 23 points (6W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Cardiff average 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 2.5 for and 1.4 against for West Ham.
- Form in the competition. Cardiff: 3W 5D 5L, goals 19–20; West Ham: 6W 4D 3L, goals 33–18.
- Head to head. In 10 previous meetings, Cardiff have taken 2 wins to West Ham's 7 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 9–20.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), which we give a 50% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 69%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 10; Cardiff 2 wins, 1 draw, West Ham 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Cardiff 19–20, West Ham 33–18.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
- Unavailable: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.97). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. West Ham will be without: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cardiff vs West Ham: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.65 | 4.30 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 3.51 | 4.09 | 1.88 |
| Lowest odds | 3.19 | 3.80 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 69.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.04 | 30.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.90 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.37 | 1.35 | 69.0% |
| BTTS – no | 3.25 | 3.00 | 31.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 4/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cardiff 1–2 West Ham, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Cardiff 18th (15 points), West Ham 8th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Cardiff 3W 5D 5L (19:20), West Ham 6W 4D 3L (33:18).
- H2H: 10 matches: Cardiff 2W 1D 7L, goals 9–20.
- Absences: Cardiff 4, West Ham 2.
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cardiff vs West Ham: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cardiff vs West Ham: injuries and missing players
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. Bieliknot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Robinsonnot in the squad · doubtful
West Ham
- K. Mavropanosknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Lamadridinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cardiff
Home and away
Cardiff vs West Ham: last matches of both teams
Cardiff
West Ham
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CardiffDLWDWWest HamDLLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cardiff vs West Ham?
West Ham -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.92).
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
Our estimate gives Cardiff a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and West Ham 50%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 4 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff. Referee: Edward Duckworth.
Who will be missing?
Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, K. Bielik, C. Robinson. West Ham: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.38) and under 2.5 goals at 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 69% (odds 1.37).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.1%), then 1–1 (8.8%) and 2–2 (6.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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