Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley), Burnley take on Portsmouth, with Ruebyn Ricardo in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Burnley lie 22nd, having collected 10 points after 14 matches (1W 7D 6L); Portsmouth lie 10th, having collected 22 points (6W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Burnley average 1.4 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.3 against for Portsmouth.
- Form in the competition. Burnley: 1W 5D 6L, goals 17–25; Portsmouth: 5W 3D 4L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Burnley have taken 2 wins to Portsmouth's 1 win, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 7–3.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.6%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Portsmouth, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Burnley 2 wins, 2 draws, Portsmouth 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Burnley 17–25, Portsmouth 16–15.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Portsmouth will be without: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.27 | 3.42 | 3.37 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.19 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 2.99 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.31 | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.81 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.41 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.96 | 47.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (10 points), Portsmouth 10th (22 points).
- Form in the competition: Burnley 1W 5D 6L (17:25), Portsmouth 5W 3D 4L (16:15).
- H2H: 5 matches: Burnley 2W 2D 1L, goals 7–3.
- Absences: Burnley 16, Portsmouth 9.
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Burnley vs Portsmouth: injuries and missing players
Burnley
- A. Ahmedhodzicknock · will miss the match
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Amosnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Ramseyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Banelabsence · doubtful
- A. Brojainjury · doubtful
- J. Cullenabsence · doubtful
- J. Vardyinjury · doubtful
- K. Walkernot in the squad · doubtful
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · doubtful
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Home and away
Burnley vs Portsmouth: last matches of both teams
Burnley
Portsmouth
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BurnleyDDLLDPortsmouthWDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Under 2.5 goals (1.93); Burnley or draw (1X) (1.38).
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our estimate gives Burnley a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Portsmouth 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Turf Moor, Burnley. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Banel, A. Broja, J. Cullen, J. Vardy, K. Walker. Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift, J. Murphy, C. Shaughnessy. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.07) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.6%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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