Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lincoln welcome Burnley on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Sincil Bank (Lincoln), and the referee is Thomas Parsons, England. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Lincoln win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Lincoln lose.
Lincoln vs Burnley: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Lincoln lie 19th, having collected 15 points after 14 matches (4W 3D 7L); Burnley lie 22nd, having collected 10 points (1W 7D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Lincoln average 0.8 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.9 against for Burnley.
- Form in the competition. Lincoln: 3W 3D 5L, goals 9–19; Burnley: 1W 5D 5L, goals 16–21.
- Head to head. In 2 previous meetings, Lincoln have taken 2 wins to Burnley's 0 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–1.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Lincoln, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 2; Lincoln 2 wins, 0 draws, Burnley 0 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Lincoln 9–19, Burnley 16–21.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: Lincoln 5, Burnley 15.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Lincoln: T. Darikwa, F. Draper, T. Hamer, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Burnley will be without: E. Agyei, A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, A. Barnes, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Vardy, J. Banel, J. Cullen. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Lincoln vs Burnley: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.88 | 3.53 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.75 | 3.41 | 2.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.27 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.11 | 30.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Lincoln 1–1 Burnley, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lincoln 19th (15 points), Burnley 22nd (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Lincoln 3W 3D 5L (9:19), Burnley 1W 5D 5L (16:21).
- H2H: 2 matches: Lincoln 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Lincoln 5, Burnley 15.
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Lincoln vs Burnley: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Lincoln vs Burnley: injuries and missing players
Lincoln
- T. Darikwaknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Draperabsence · will miss the match
- T. Hamerred card · will miss the match
- M. Meliathigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Wheatleynot in the squad · will miss the match
Burnley
- E. Agyeiabsence · will miss the match
- A. Ahmedhodzicknock · will miss the match
- Z. Amdouniankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Barnesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Beyerhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Bruun Larseninjury · will miss the match
- B. Humphreysmuscle injury · will miss the match
- H. Mejbrihamstring injury · will miss the match
- M. Obafeminot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Ramseyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Sambonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Tresor Ndayishimiyenot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Vardyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Banelmuscle injury · doubtful
- J. Cullenknee injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Lincoln
Home and away
Lincoln vs Burnley: last matches of both teams
Lincoln
Burnley
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
LincolnLLWDLBurnleyDDLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Lincoln vs Burnley?
Lincoln +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
Our estimate gives Lincoln a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Burnley 38%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Sincil Bank, Lincoln. Referee: Thomas Parsons, England.
Who will be missing?
Lincoln: T. Darikwa, F. Draper, T. Hamer, M. Melia, E. Wheatley. Burnley: E. Agyei, A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, A. Barnes, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri, M. Obafemi, A. Ramsey, S. Sambo, M. Tresor Ndayishimiye, J. Vardy, J. Banel, J. Cullen. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.93) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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