Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at The Den (London), Millwall take on Lincoln, with Ruebyn Ricardo in charge. We make Millwall (55%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Lincoln win, a draw. Stake back: Lincoln lose by 1. Loses: Lincoln lose by 2 or more.
Millwall vs Lincoln: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Millwall lie 13th, having collected 18 points after 14 matches (5W 3D 6L); Lincoln lie 19th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
What to expect
In our view Millwall hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 50%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Millwall: no absences. Lincoln will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Millwall vs Lincoln: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.78 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.81 | 52.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.30 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 10:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Millwall 13th (18 points), Lincoln 19th (15 points).
- Absences: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Millwall vs Lincoln: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Millwall vs Lincoln: injuries and missing players
Millwall
- No reported absences
Lincoln
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
Millwall
Home and away
Millwall vs Lincoln: last matches of both teams
Millwall
Lincoln
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Lincoln +1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our estimate gives Millwall a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lincoln 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 12:30, venue The Den, London. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Millwall: no absences. Lincoln: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.06) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.9%), then 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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