Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Druso (Bozen), Südtirol take on Cesena, with Davide Di Marco in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Südtirol vs Cesena: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Südtirol lie 10th, having collected 14 points after 10 matches (3W 5D 2L); Cesena lie 12th, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Südtirol average 1.1 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.4 against for Cesena.
- Form in the competition. Südtirol: 3W 4D 2L, goals 10–9; Cesena: 2W 5D 2L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Südtirol have taken 1 win to Cesena's 2 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 5–6.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Südtirol 1 win, 5 draws, Cesena 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Südtirol 10–9, Cesena 10–13.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Südtirol: no absences. Cesena will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Südtirol vs Cesena: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.42 | 3.30 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.27 | 3.14 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.00 | 2.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.34 | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.11 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.72 | 25.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.94 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 07:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Südtirol 1–1 Cesena, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Südtirol 10th (14 points), Cesena 12th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Südtirol 3W 4D 2L (10:9), Cesena 2W 5D 2L (10:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Südtirol 1W 5D 2L, goals 5–6.
- Absences: Südtirol 0, Cesena 0.
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Südtirol vs Cesena: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Südtirol vs Cesena: injuries and missing players
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Cesena
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Südtirol
Home and away
Südtirol vs Cesena: last matches of both teams
Südtirol
Cesena
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SüdtirolDLDLDCesenaDWLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Südtirol vs Cesena?
Both teams to score (1.91); Südtirol or draw (1X) (1.37).
Who will win Südtirol vs Cesena?
Our estimate gives Südtirol a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Cesena 30%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Druso, Bozen. Referee: Davide Di Marco.
Who will be missing?
Südtirol: no absences. Cesena: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.28) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.8%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.