Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Dino Manuzzi (Cesena), Cesena take on Empoli, with Mario Perri in charge. We make Cesena (46%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Cesena vs Empoli: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Cesena lie 12th, having collected 12 points after 10 matches (2W 6D 2L); Empoli lie 18th, having collected 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Cesena average 1.0 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 0.9 for and 1.6 against for Empoli.
- Form in the competition. Cesena: 1W 5D 2L, goals 8–12; Empoli: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–13.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Cesena have taken 2 wins to Empoli's 4 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 12–16.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Cesena 2 wins, 2 draws, Empoli 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Cesena 8–12, Empoli 7–13.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
- Unavailable: Cesena 0, Empoli 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Cesena: no absences. Empoli will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Cesena vs Empoli: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.99 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.22 | 3.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.02 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.29 | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.39 | 27.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cesena 1–1 Empoli, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cesena 12th (12 points), Empoli 18th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Cesena 1W 5D 2L (8:12), Empoli 2W 1D 5L (7:13).
- H2H: 8 matches: Cesena 2W 2D 4L, goals 12–16.
- Absences: Cesena 0, Empoli 0.
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Cesena vs Empoli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Cesena vs Empoli: injuries and missing players
Cesena
- No reported absences
Empoli
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Cesena
Home and away
Cesena vs Empoli: last matches of both teams
Cesena
Empoli
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CesenaDWLDLEmpoliDLLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cesena vs Empoli?
Draw or Empoli (X2) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Cesena vs Empoli?
Our estimate gives Cesena a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Empoli 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. Referee: Mario Perri.
Who will be missing?
Cesena: no absences. Empoli: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.11) and under 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (11.9%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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