Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Empoli welcome Vicenza Virtus on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Carlo Castellani (Empoli), and the referee is Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Vicenza Virtus win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Vicenza Virtus lose.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Empoli lie 18th, having collected 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L); Vicenza Virtus lie 17th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Empoli have taken 3 wins to Vicenza Virtus's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 10–6.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Empoli 3 wins, 1 draw, Vicenza Virtus 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Empoli: no absences. Vicenza Virtus will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.62 | 3.39 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.28 | 2.72 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.83 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.95 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.41 | 3.05 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Empoli 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Empoli 18th (8 points), Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Empoli 3W 1D 1L, goals 10–6.
- Absences: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: injuries and missing players
Empoli
- No reported absences
Vicenza Virtus
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Empoli
Home and away
Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: last matches of both teams
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our estimate gives Empoli a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Vicenza Virtus 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:30, venue Carlo Castellani, Empoli. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Empoli: no absences. Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.93) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.1%), then 1–0 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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