Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza), Vicenza Virtus take on Modena, with Daniele Perenzoni in charge. We make Modena (46%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Vicenza Virtus lie 17th, having collected 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L); Modena lie 3rd, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Vicenza Virtus average 1.4 goals for and 1.9 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.0 against for Modena.
- Form in the competition. Vicenza Virtus: 2W 3D 3L, goals 11–15; Modena: 5W 1D 2L, goals 15–8.
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Vicenza Virtus have taken 1 win to Modena's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 2–2.
What to expect
In our view Modena hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.65), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; Vicenza Virtus 1 win, 1 draw, Modena 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Vicenza Virtus 11–15, Modena 15–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Vicenza Virtus 0, Modena 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Modena will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.80 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| Market average | 3.50 | 3.41 | 2.02 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.16 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.22 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.77 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 2.88 | 32.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Vicenza Virtus 1–1 Modena, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points), Modena 3rd (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Vicenza Virtus 2W 3D 3L (11:15), Modena 5W 1D 2L (15:8).
- H2H: 3 matches: Vicenza Virtus 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Vicenza Virtus 0, Modena 0.
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: injuries and missing players
Vicenza Virtus
- No reported absences
Modena
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Vicenza Virtus
Home and away
Vicenza Virtus vs Modena: last matches of both teams
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Vicenza VirtusLLWDLModenaDWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
Over 2.5 goals (1.86); Modena to win (2.08).
Who will win Vicenza Virtus vs Modena?
Our estimate gives Vicenza Virtus a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Modena 46%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza. Referee: Daniele Perenzoni.
Who will be missing?
Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Modena: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.86) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.7%), then 0–1 (9.7%) and 1–2 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.