Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Padova welcome Südtirol on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio Comunale Euganeo (Padua), and the referee is Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Padova win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Padova lose.
Padova vs Südtirol: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Padova lie 9th, having collected 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L); Südtirol lie 10th, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Padova average 0.9 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.3 for and 0.9 against for Südtirol.
- Form in the competition. Padova: 3W 1D 4L, goals 7–10; Südtirol: 3W 4D 1L, goals 10–7.
- Head to head. In 14 previous meetings, Padova have taken 5 wins to Südtirol's 3 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.72), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 43%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 14; Padova 5 wins, 6 draws, Südtirol 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Padova 7–10, Südtirol 10–7.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
- Unavailable: Padova 0, Südtirol 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 50%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Padova: no absences. Südtirol will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Padova vs Südtirol: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.36 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.08 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 2.93 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.19 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 56.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.11 | 3.89 | 24.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Padova 1–0 Südtirol, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Padova 9th (14 points), Südtirol 10th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Padova 3W 1D 4L (7:10), Südtirol 3W 4D 1L (10:7).
- H2H: 14 matches: Padova 5W 6D 3L, goals 13–9.
- Absences: Padova 0, Südtirol 0.
Who will win Padova vs Südtirol?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Padova vs Südtirol: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Padova vs Südtirol: injuries and missing players
Padova
- No reported absences
Südtirol
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8-3-0 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Ascoli | 11 | 5-5-1 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Padova
Home and away
Padova vs Südtirol: last matches of both teams
Padova
Südtirol
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PadovaDWWLLSüdtirolDLDLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Padova vs Südtirol?
Padova -0.25 (Asian handicap) (2.06); Under 2.5 goals (1.72).
Who will win Padova vs Südtirol?
Our estimate gives Padova a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Südtirol 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua. Referee: Edoardo Manedo Mazzoni.
Who will be missing?
Padova: no absences. Südtirol: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.31) and under 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.72).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.9%), then 1–1 (12.9%) and 0–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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