Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium (Paisley), ST Mirren take on Dundee, with S. McLean in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. ST Mirren lie 8th, having collected 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L); Dundee lie 5th, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. In 28 previous meetings, ST Mirren have taken 13 wins to Dundee's 10 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 38–34.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 28; ST Mirren 13 wins, 5 draws, Dundee 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for ST Mirren: no absences. Dundee will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.32 | 3.70 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.57 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.23 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.65 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.68 | 35.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.33 | 39.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:35. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Dundee 5th (17 points).
- H2H: 28 matches: ST Mirren 13W 5D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
ST Mirren vs Dundee: injuries and missing players
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Mirren
Home and away
ST Mirren vs Dundee: last matches of both teams
ST Mirren
Dundee
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Under 3.5 goals (1.50); ST Mirren or draw (1X) (1.42).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Our estimate gives ST Mirren a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dundee 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. Referee: S. McLean.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Dundee: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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