Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for ST Johnstone vs Dundee (Scottish Premiership, 7 November 2026, 15:00): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.80. Second tip: ST Johnstone or draw (1X) at odds of 1.47. The bookmakers' odds give ST Johnstone 38%, the draw 28% and Dundee 34%. The most likely score is 1–1.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee preview and prediction
Dundee travel to Perth to face St Johnstone at McDiarmid Park on 7 November 2026, with the match kicking off at 15:00 as part of Matchweek 13 in the Scottish Premiership. The visitors come in fifth with 17 points, while the home side are seventh on 14, which leaves Dundee three points ahead in the standings. Bookmakers still rate the hosts as the likeliest winner, though by a narrow margin, and we see that as a reflection of the odds more than of the sides themselves.
The key facts
- Likely result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: ST Johnstone 7th (14 points), Dundee 5th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Johnstone 3W 5D 4L (15:19), Dundee 5W 2D 4L (17:13).
- H2H: 35 matches: ST Johnstone 15W 8D 12L, goals 46–38.
- Absences: ST Johnstone 0, Dundee 0.
Which side is in better shape right now
Those table figures only reflect this competition. Looking at all competitions, the recent form tells a different story from the league standings in one key way. Dundee have claimed 3 wins from their last 5, with just 1 defeat. St Johnstone, by contrast, have managed a single win in that span, alongside 3 draws and 1 loss. Across those matches St Johnstone have scored 6 and conceded 9, and a return like that leaves us doubtful they are building anything of substance.
In this competition, St Johnstone's home form is more consistent than dazzling. They have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat at McDiarmid Park, while Dundee's away record reads 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. Dundee have produced good away performances in spells and poor ones in others, so we would not simply back them to win outright.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.55 | 3.52 | 2.87 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.42 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.25 | 2.58 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.73 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.08 | 45.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.93 | 2.80 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.26 | 41.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
Goals, scorelines and what the market expects
St Johnstone average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in this competition, whereas Dundee average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Over their last five games, St Johnstone have found the net in 4, while Dundee have done so in 5. Market pricing points to roughly three goals in the match, with St Johnstone projected near 2 and Dundee near 1.
Bookmaker pricing points to a lower-scoring contest: under 3.5 goals is priced at 66% with best odds of 1.45, against 34% for over 3.5. Over 1.5 goals sits at 77%, so the bookmakers' central expectation is at least two goals. The exact scores with the highest implied chance are 1-1 at 11.7%, 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-0 at 8.7%. These figures reflect what the odds-setters anticipate for this fixture, not how often these teams have actually produced those results.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Home and away
The meetings and the 1-1 on 2 September
In their last 35 head-to-head clashes, St Johnstone have claimed 15 victories and 8 draws, while Dundee have taken 12. On goals, St Johnstone lead 46:38, so the rivalry has been tight in the table and on the scoreboard alike.
The latest meeting finished 1-1 at Dundee on 2 September 2026. Earlier results were St Johnstone 0-2 Dundee on 18 May 2025, Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone on 1 March 2025, St Johnstone 1-3 Dundee on 5 January 2025, Dundee 1-2 St Johnstone on 26 October 2024 and St Johnstone 1-2 Dundee on 30 March 2024.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: last matches of both teams
ST Johnstone
Dundee
Head to head
All matchesNo absences to weigh up
Neither side has a single reported absence, which means there is no injury or suspension news to factor in. Instead, the call rests on recent results, league position and the odds on offer, the approach we usually take when a fixture looks like this.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: injuries and missing players
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Our main tip and why we like it
Our top pick is Draw or Dundee (X2) at odds 1.67 (chance 59%). The reasoning: Dundee have collected 3 wins from their last 5 and dropped just 1 of those games, whereas St Johnstone have managed only 1 win in the same span. Dundee sit fifth on 17 points, with St Johnstone seventh on 14. Across the market, this selection is priced at 59% with the best available odds of 1.67. The bet comes good on 1-1, 1-2 and 0-1, and falls short on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0. Even with a narrow margin, we rate it as the strongest value among the result options.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ST JohnstoneDDLDWDundeeWLDWWUnder 3.5 as the second tip
The second selection is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.45 (chance 66%). The case rests purely on value: the market prices it at 66% with a best available price of 1.45. Every one of the six scorelines on our list, 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 and 2-0, lands under the line. Because the price is short, a single additional goal would settle it against us, so we would commit a smaller stake here than on the first pick.
Three extras we would consider
Beyond the main tips, these are the selections we would consider, with each priced at the quoted odds:
- Dundee +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.67, chance 59%. A +0.5 line only loses if Dundee fall short by a margin of one goal or more, which is why it pairs well with the main pick.
- Dundee +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.33, chance 73%. The stake comes back if Dundee lose by exactly 1, and only a loss by 2 or more settles the bet against them.
- Under 10.5 corners is priced at 1.82 with a 52% probability. With the edge this thin, it is only worth a small stake as an add-on.
The bookmaker takes a 7.8% cut on the match result, so none of these odds offers real value. Stake lightly and think of the extras as a side dish, not the main course.
Where we come down
Our pick is the double chance of draw or Dundee at 1.67, and we would not chase a higher price. Dundee have been in better form lately and sit higher in the standings. Treat the under 3.5 as a fallback selection, and grab the odds available at the time.
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Over 2.5 goals (1.80); ST Johnstone or draw (1X) (1.47).
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Our estimate gives ST Johnstone a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Dundee 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 15:00, venue McDiarmid Park, Perth.
Who will be missing?
ST Johnstone: no absences. Dundee: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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