Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Celtic vs Kilmarnock (Scottish Premiership, 8 November 2026, 16:00): Both teams to score at odds of 1.87. Second tip: Celtic to win at odds of 1.19. The bookmakers' odds give Celtic 81%, the draw 12% and Kilmarnock 7%. The most likely score is 3–0.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock preview and prediction
Celtic should be the side in charge when they host Kilmarnock on 8 November 2026 at 16:00. The home team tops the Scottish Premiership with 28 points, whereas Kilmarnock occupy 11th place with 9. Bookmakers see it the same way, and the most probable precise results are 2-0 and 3-0, each at 9.6%, followed by 2-1 at 8.1%. The match gets underway at Celtic Park, Glasgow.
The key facts
- Likely result: Celtic 3–0 Kilmarnock, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Celtic 1st (28 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Celtic 9W 1D 2L (27:10), Kilmarnock 2W 3D 7L (13:28).
- H2H: 53 matches: Celtic 40W 8D 5L, goals 138–38.
- Absences: Celtic 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Celtic's home record does the heavy lifting
Across this competition, Celtic have netted 27 times in 12 outings and let in 10, averaging 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Kilmarnock, by contrast, have found the net 13 times and shipped 28. On the road, their tally stands at 6 goals from 6 matches, with 13 conceded. We like the mismatch, and it is most obvious at Celtic Park, where Celtic have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1, scoring 15 and conceding 5.
Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Kilmarnock's road form and a note on the table
Across all competitions, Kilmarnock's most recent five games produced 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 13 conceded. That single victory was a 3-2 home success over Motherwell, while the losses included a 3-0 setback at Falkirk and a 3-1 defeat at Dundee. The league table and season numbers relate only to this competition, so they may appear different from the wider all-competition form.
Across their previous five matches in every competition, Celtic collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring 12 goals and letting in 8. Their two setbacks came in a 1-2 defeat at home to Celta Vigo and a 2-0 reverse away at Falkirk. Celtic remain the stronger side on paper, yet they have not been unbeatable in every fixture, so we would not regard top spot in the league as a certainty.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Celtic
Home and away
Fifty-three meetings, one lopsided story
In their last 53 head-to-head games, Celtic have picked up 40 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats, banging in 138 goals while Kilmarnock managed 38. The most recent fixture on the books ended Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic on 9/8/26, and Celtic had earlier run out 4-0 winners at home on 9/11/25. Kilmarnock have won so seldom in this span that we would not base a wager on them.
No absentees to worry about
With no injury or suspension news for either side, both teams are likely to field close to their best lineups. What will settle it is current form and the difference in quality between the two sides.
Both teams to find the net, priced at 1.80
Our top pick on this page is Both Teams to Score at 1.80, which we rate at a 54% chance. Each side has found the net in four of its last five outings, while each has been held scoreless just once in that span. An expected total near four goals points toward both teams getting on the scoresheet, and the market prices it at 54% at its best price.
Winning scorelines here are 2-1 and 3-1, while 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 and 1-0 all lose, so the bet's weakness is clear. The case is persuasive, but it depends on Kilmarnock finding the net and Celtic not pulling away.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock: last matches of both teams
Celtic
Kilmarnock
Head to head
All matchesOur second tip: Celtic to win
Our second selection is Celtic to win, priced at 1.19 with an 80% probability. Kilmarnock have collected just 1 win from their last 5, while Celtic top the table on 28 points and Kilmarnock sit 11th on 9. In 53 head-to-head meetings, Celtic have taken 40 victories to Kilmarnock's 5. With odds this low, the bet suits anyone seeking the straight match result rather than hunting for value.
This selection cashes in across all six of the most probable scorelines on our list: 2-0, 3-0, 2-1, 3-1, 4-0 and 1-0. Between the pair of recommendations, this is the one we'd most like to see come good first.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock: injuries and missing players
Celtic
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CelticLDWWWKilmarnockDLLWLAlternatives worth a look
- Celtic -1 (Asian handicap) at 1.22, chance 77%. At -1, Celtic need to win by two goals at minimum; if they win by just one, the stake comes back. It is a reasonable option for backing the favourite when a big margin isn't necessary.
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.29, chance 74%. Market pricing points the same way, and this line fits neatly alongside a Celtic victory with both teams finding the net.
- Celtic -1.5 (Asian handicap) at 1.50, chance 64%. At -1.5, Celtic need to win by at least two goals.
- Over 9.5 corners at 1.36, chance 68%. A price we would take as a second line.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.19 | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| Market average | 1.16 | 7.95 | 12.71 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 6.38 | 9.26 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.28 | 3.85 | 24.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.74 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:18. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Celtic to win, with 2-0 the likeliest
The 2-0 Celtic scoreline ranks first, tied at the top with 3-0 at 9.6%. Should the match end 2-0, the second tip cashes while the main tip falls. We would back Celtic to win, keeping the main tip as the more interesting read.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Both teams to score (1.87); Celtic to win (1.19).
Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Our estimate gives Celtic a 81% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Kilmarnock 7%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Celtic Park, Glasgow.
Who will be missing?
Celtic: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 76% (odds 1.28) and under 2.5 goals at 24% (odds 4.28).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (9.1%), then 2–0 (8.8%) and 3–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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