Dundee United vs Motherwell: prediction, odds and betting tip – 7 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

Dundee United vs Motherwell preview and prediction

Dundee United and Motherwell meet at Tannadice Park on 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, and the numbers point to a match that should produce goals. The expected goals are 2 for United and 1 for Motherwell, about three in total. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 10.6%, 2-1 at 9.3% and 1-0 at 7.9%. Those are the bookmakers' figures, and they tell us the market sees a home win as the most likely single outcome while leaving a lot of room for a draw.

Attack against defence in the league

The Scottish Premiership table has United sixth on 16 points from 11, and Motherwell ninth on 12 from 12. Those are this competition's figures only, so cup and European results play no part in them. United have scored 16 and conceded 16 in the league, which makes them level at both ends. Per match they score 1.5 and concede 1.5. Motherwell score 1.2 and concede 1.7, with 14 goals for and 20 against.

We would look at Motherwell's away record before anything else. They have one win, two draws and three defeats on the road, with ten scored and twelve conceded. United's home record is two wins, two draws and one defeat, with six scored and six conceded. Neither team has been a fortress, but United have been the more reliable of the two when they play in front of their own crowd.

Form that splits the two sides

Across all competitions, United's last five games give three wins, two draws and no defeats, with ten goals scored and five conceded. The 2-2 draw at Celtic on 28/10/26 is the most recent of those. Motherwell's last five give one win, one draw and three defeats, with five scored and nine conceded. Their latest result was a 1-0 home win over St Mirren on 31/10/26, but it followed a 2-0 home defeat by Heart Of Midlothian on 25/10/26.

We think that gap matters more than the league table does. United have been harder to beat recently, and Motherwell have shown they can win but have not been keeping goals out.

Forty-two meetings and a recent swing

Across the last 42 meetings, United have won 17, drawn 7 and Motherwell have won 18. United have scored 57 and Motherwell 51, so the overall series is close to level. The recent meetings are where the story sits. Motherwell beat United 3-0 on 2/9/26, 2-0 on 28/2/26 and 2-0 on 29/10/25. United's last win in this run was a 1-0 result on 22/2/25, and the 0-0 draw on 13/12/25 came between those games.

So the head-to-head favours the visitors, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Motherwell have the more recent edge, and that is a reason to take the away side seriously even if they are not the favourites.

No injury news from either camp

No absences have been reported for either team. We do not have to guess at team news here, and that keeps our reading focused on the form and the head-to-head.

Draw or Motherwell at 1.62

Our main tip is Draw or Motherwell (X2) at odds 1.62 (chance 61%). The argument is simple: Motherwell have won 18 of the last 42 meetings, United 17, so the head-to-head does not back the home side. The market gives the bet 61% at best odds of 1.62, and we think that price is fair for a team that has been winning this fixture recently.

The bet wins on a 1-1 draw, a 1-2 Motherwell win or a 2-2 draw. It loses on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0. The risk is obvious: a home win of any normal margin sinks the ticket, and United's home record is the best reason to think they can get one.

Both teams to score as our second tip

Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 2.10 (chance 46%). The case is built on United's recent scoring. Both teams scored in three of United's last five matches, and United failed to score in none of those five. The expected total of about three goals fits the same picture.

The bet wins on 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 and 2-2, and loses on 1-0 and 2-0. We like it more than the outright draw because it still cashes when Motherwell score once and United score twice, and that scoreline sits near the top of the likeliest-score list.

Alternatives if you want more on the card

If you want to add something to the tips, we have three picks that fit the same match without working against them:

• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.20 (chance 80%). It is the shortest price on the card, and the market clearly expects at least two goals.
• Motherwell +1.25 at odds 1.35 (chance 71%). Half the stake goes on Motherwell +1, which is lost only if they lose by two or more and returns the stake on a one-goal defeat. The other half goes on Motherwell +1.5, which is lost only if they lose by two or more. This is the handicap we would pick.
• Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.62 (chance 60%). It sits comfortably with an expected total of about three.

Our likeliest score at Tannadice

Our most likely score is 1-1, which the market rates at 10.6%. It is the only scoreline that wins both of our tips, and it is the one we would expect if United take a goal and Motherwell respond. A 2-1 United win is the next most likely score, and it helps the second tip while sinking the main one. We would not back a United win at 2.05 on this evidence.