Aberdeen vs Hibernian: prediction, odds and betting tip – 7 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen vs Hibernian preview and prediction

Our pick for Aberdeen versus Hibernian at Pittodrie on 7 November 2026, kick-off 17:45, is Hibernian +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.60, with a probability of 61%. Hibernian need only avoid defeat: a draw or a visitors' victory both settle it in our favour, and only a home win by any margin sinks the ticket. Looking at the 1X2 market alone, bookmakers price Aberdeen at 39%, a draw at 27% and Hibernian at 34%, a gap narrow enough that we favour the handicap line over backing the hosts.

Aberdeen's home return is weaker than it looks

Aberdeen are 10th in this competition, collecting 11 points from 11 matches with 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. They have scored 12 and conceded 14. On their own turf they have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3, netting 5 goals for and 5 against. Three home defeats mean Pittodrie should not be treated as a safe bet, whatever the odds suggest.

Their overall form is the bigger worry. Over their last five matches in every competition, Aberdeen have collected just one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. That lone victory was a 3-1 home success over St Mirren. Their losses came at home against St Johnstone and Falkirk, and away at Dundee United. The league table reflects only this competition, so league standing and recent results do not tell exactly the same story, yet both point in the same direction.

Hibernian leak goals but travel better

Hibernian sit 12th with 8 points from 11 games, built on 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats, and they trail Aberdeen by three points. Their 11 goals scored and 17 conceded make the back line the weakest part of the side. Scoring 1.0 a match is barely below Aberdeen's 1.1, which places the problem elsewhere. The real gap opens at the back, where they concede 1.5 a game.

On the road, Hibernian look better. In this competition they have claimed 2 wins, picked up 1 draw and suffered 2 defeats away from home, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Across all competitions, their most recent five matches have produced no wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. Those results include a 1-1 stalemate with Aberdeen at home, a 1-0 loss at Dundee United, home losses of 1-2 against Falkirk and 1-2 against Celtic, and a 1-1 draw at St Mirren. They have been losing narrowly rather than heavily, and that is the detail we need for a handicap.

Why the handicap is our first choice

Our main tip rests on two points. Aberdeen have managed just 1 win in their last 5, while Hibernian's away form of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats tells a more dependable story than their league position. The market prices the bet at 61% when the best available odds are 1.60. The bet lands on the most likely scores: 1-1, 0-1 and 1-2 all win, whereas 1-0, 2-1 and 2-0 lose. The 1-0 and 2-1 results are the two most probable outcomes outside 1-1 in the market, so we are accepting real risk at this price. We still think it is the right side.

Meetings and team news give no clear steer

Across 51 meetings, Aberdeen have claimed 23 wins to Hibernian's 15, with 13 games drawn. Aberdeen have also scored 60 goals to Hibernian's 53. Results since then are more balanced: Aberdeen won 2-0 on 11 April 2026 and 1-0 on 26 April 2025, while Hibernian took 2-0 on 30 December 2025, 1-2 at Pittodrie on 26 October 2025 and 2-0 on 1 February 2025. The latest meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished 1-1. Neither side has reported any absences, so the squad news leaves the picture unchanged. Aberdeen's historical advantage deserves little weight here, since recent head-to-head results show neither club consistently getting the upper hand.

Our second tip: Both teams to score

Our number-two pick is Both teams to score at odds 1.62, giving it a 58% chance. Scoring has been common for both clubs lately. Aberdeen found the net in 3 of their last five games, while Hibernian did so in 4. Hibernian went without a goal in just 1 of their last five. On the most probable scorelines, the bet wins with 1-1, 2-1 and 1-2, and loses with 1-0, 0-1 and 2-0. Aberdeen also failed to score in 2 of their last five, so the outcome depends more on Hibernian getting on the scoresheet than on Aberdeen. This suits anyone who expects the visitors to keep producing goals, though at 1.62 the price is marginally higher than our top selection.

Other prices that fit the same read

For a second selection to go with the main tip, our favourite is Hibernian +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.26, with a chance of 75%. At +1 the bet only loses if Hibernian are beaten by two or more goals, and a one-goal defeat gives the stake back. It is a shorter price than our main tip, and it fits the narrow-defeat pattern we see in the visitors' last five. Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25 has a 76% chance in the market, making it the safest price we would consider, although it contributes little of our own view. Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44 is the other option, with a 67% chance. We would back Hibernian +1 ahead of the bigger prices, because the visitors have been losing by small margins and that is where we see the value.