Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell welcome ST Mirren on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell). Motherwell (51%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Motherwell win. Loses: a draw, Motherwell lose.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Motherwell lie 9th, having collected 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L); ST Mirren lie 8th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Motherwell average 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.7 against for ST Mirren.
- Form in the competition. Motherwell: 2W 3D 6L, goals 13–20; ST Mirren: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–19.
- Head to head. In 48 previous meetings, Motherwell have taken 20 wins to ST Mirren's 11 wins, plus 17 draws; the goal tally stands at 70–46.
What to expect
In our view Motherwell hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 48; Motherwell 20 wins, 17 draws, ST Mirren 11 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Motherwell 13–20, ST Mirren 12–19.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Motherwell: no absences. ST Mirren will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.88 | 3.98 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.81 | 3.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.78 | 3.37 | 3.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.51 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 ST Mirren, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), ST Mirren 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Motherwell 2W 3D 6L (13:20), ST Mirren 4W 2D 5L (12:19).
- H2H: 48 matches: Motherwell 20W 17D 11L, goals 70–46.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: injuries and missing players
Motherwell
- No reported absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Motherwell
Home and away
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: last matches of both teams
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MotherwellWDLLLST MirrenLDWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Motherwell -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our estimate gives Motherwell a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ST Mirren 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Fir Park, Motherwell.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. ST Mirren: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.66) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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