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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

WLLL
3–2
1Celtic3.10
XDraw3.96
2Beşiktaş2.24

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow), Celtic take on Beşiktaş, with Sascha Stegemann in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Celtic +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.96
Chance 50% · confidence medium

Wins: Celtic win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Celtic lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Chance 65% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
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Celtic vs Beşiktaş: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Celtic lie 32nd, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Beşiktaş lie 8th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Celtic average 1.0 goals for and 3.0 against, compared with 1.9 for and 0.7 against for Beşiktaş.
  3. Form in the competition. Celtic: 0W 0D 3L, goals 3–9; Beşiktaş: 7W 1D 1L, goals 17–6.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 66%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: Celtic 3–9, Beşiktaş 17–6.
  2. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
  3. Unavailable: Celtic 7, Beşiktaş 5.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 56%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Celtic: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston, Jota, S. Mheuka, A. Trusty, Yang Hyun-Jun, J. van den Berg. Beşiktaş will be without: U. Akdag, C. Keles, O. Kokcu, F. Miretti, M. Rashica. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.103.962.24
Market average2.993.792.18
Lowest odds2.843.502.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1383.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4664.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.802.6635.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.262.1544.2%
BTTS – yes1.441.4066.3%
BTTS – no3.102.7733.7%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Beşiktaş, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Celtic 32nd (3 points), Beşiktaş 8th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Celtic 0W 0D 3L (3:9), Beşiktaş 7W 1D 1L (17:6).
  • Absences: Celtic 7, Beşiktaş 5.

Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Celtic32%
Draw25%
Beşiktaş43%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals83.1% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.16
Likely
Draw or Beşiktaş (X2)68.3% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams to score: yes66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 3.5 goals44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.26
Outsider
Beşiktaş to win43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.80
Outsider
Both teams to score: no33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 3.10
Outsider
Celtic to win31.7% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.98 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.1%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.17 · Under 1.64
probability of over 43.1%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.0%
1 : 29.0%
2 : 17.5%
2 : 26.7%
0 : 16.6%
0 : 26.0%

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: injuries and missing players

Celtic

  • L. Emenalonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • A. Johnstonabsence · will miss the match
  • Jotanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • S. Mheukanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • A. Trustynot in the squad · will miss the match
  • Yang Hyun-Junhamstring injury · will miss the match
  • J. van den Bergnot in the squad · will miss the match

Beşiktaş

  • U. Akdagred card · will miss the match
  • C. Kelesnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • O. Kokcufoot injury · will miss the match
  • F. Mirettishoulder injury · will miss the match
  • M. Rashicanot in the squad · will miss the match

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica44-0-013:312
2Bournemouth44-0-011:212
3Ferencvárosi TC44-0-011:312
4Union Saint-Gilloise43-1-010:210
5Juventus43-1-011:410
6Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
7Bayer Leverkusen43-0-18:19
8Beşiktaş42-1-111:87
9Dinamo Zagreb42-1-15:47
10Levski Sofia42-1-14:37
11Sunderland42-1-14:47
12NEC Nijmegen42-1-18:97
13Lyon42-1-16:77
14AZ Alkmaar42-0-27:46
15Anderlecht42-0-26:36
16OFI42-0-25:46
17Rennes41-3-04:36
18Omonia Nicosia42-0-26:76
19Torreense42-0-27:96
20Real Sociedad41-2-19:45
21Crystal Palace41-2-19:65
22Sparta Praha41-1-26:64
231899 Hoffenheim41-1-26:64
24Sturm Graz41-1-23:64
25Celje41-1-25:94
26Red Bull Salzburg41-1-23:84
27Celta Vigo41-0-34:63
28AC Milan41-0-34:73
29Jagiellonia41-0-34:73
30Plzeň41-0-33:73
31Marseille41-0-32:63
32Celtic41-0-36:113
33Hapoel Beer Sheva40-1-31:81
34Lillestrøm40-1-32:101
35Lech Poznań40-1-32:121
36Ararat-Armenia40-0-44:140

Recent matches

Celtic

5 NovWCeltic 3–2 Beşiktaş
1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee United
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Beşiktaş

5 NovLCeltic 3–2 Beşiktaş
22 OctDBeşiktaş 2–2 Crystal Palace
15 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
17 SeptWBeşiktaş 4–1 Marseille
27 AugLKauno Žalgiris 1–0 Beşiktaş

Home and away

Celtic at home3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 5–7
Beşiktaş away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 5–5

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: last matches of both teams

Celtic

L 1/11/26 · Falkirk 2–0 Celtic
D 28/10/26 · Celtic 2–2 Dundee United
W 25/10/26 · Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
L 22/10/26 · Celtic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Beşiktaş

D 22/10/26 · Beşiktaş 2–2 Crystal Palace
W 15/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş
W 17/9/26 · Beşiktaş 4–1 Marseille
L 27/8/26 · Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Beşiktaş

Team comparison

CelticBeşiktaş
0%Form100%
20%Attack80%
40%Defence60%
24.3%Overall75.7%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

CelticWLLL
BeşiktaşLDWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Celtic +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).

Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Our estimate gives Celtic a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beşiktaş 43%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Celtic Park, Glasgow. Referee: Sascha Stegemann.

Who will be missing?

Celtic: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston, Jota, S. Mheuka, A. Trusty, Yang Hyun-Jun, J. van den Berg. Beşiktaş: U. Akdag, C. Keles, O. Kokcu, F. Miretti, M. Rashica. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 35% (odds 2.80).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 66% (odds 1.44).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.0%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.5%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.