Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Falkirk welcome Kilmarnock on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk), and the referee is D. Robertson. Falkirk (51%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Falkirk win. Loses: a draw, Falkirk lose.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Falkirk lie 4th, having collected 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L); Kilmarnock lie 11th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Head to head. In 7 previous meetings, Falkirk have taken 5 wins to Kilmarnock's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–9.
What to expect
In our view Falkirk hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 7; Falkirk 5 wins, 0 draws, Kilmarnock 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.7 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 59%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Falkirk: no absences. Kilmarnock will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.91 | 3.90 | 4.02 |
| Market average | 1.86 | 3.81 | 3.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.64 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.23 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:35. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Falkirk 5W 0D 2L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: injuries and missing players
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Falkirk
Home and away
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: last matches of both teams
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Falkirk -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Our estimate gives Falkirk a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kilmarnock 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk. Referee: D. Robertson.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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