Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sevilla vs Alavés Prediction: Sevilla Over 5.5 Corners
Our preferred Sevilla vs Alavés bet is Sevilla Over 5.5 corners at 2.20. Friday night at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán brings together a Sevilla side that attacks in waves at home and an Alavés team that concedes territory and corners in bulk – 4.8 per game this season, and far more when the pressure builds.
Alavés arrive in Seville winless in seven league matches and fresh from a 6-1 defeat to Barcelona in which they spent long spells pinned inside their own half. When Quique Sánchez Flores' side are under sustained pressure, the clearances and blocks that fuel big corner counts follow naturally.
Sevilla's own form is patchy – one win in five – but their last home league match brought a controlled 2-0 victory over Osasuna, and the Pizjuán crowd demands front‑foot football. Sixth in the table, Luis García Plaza's team need the points to keep hold of a European place and should be on the attack from the first whistle.
The caution is that Alavés have lost only one of their last seven meetings with Sevilla, so this is no free hit on the result market. Our angle is the corner count instead: a home side that must force the issue against visitors who concede nearly five corners a game. Over 5.5 Sevilla corners at 2.20 is the play.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sevilla 1–0 Alavés, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sevilla 6th (18 points), Alavés 9th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Sevilla 5W 2D 4L (17:19), Alavés 3W 3D 5L (15:17).
- H2H: 20 matches: Sevilla 8W 7D 5L, goals 25–21.
- Absences: Sevilla 5, Alavés 1.
Sevilla vs Alavés: Date, Kick-Off Time and Where to Watch
Sevilla host Alavés on Friday, 6 November 2026, in the twelfth round of La Liga. Kick‑off at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville is 20:00 local time.
Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sevilla vs Alavés Betting Odds and Best Markets
Sevilla are clear home favourites at around 1.87, the draw trades near 3.60 and Alavés are out at roughly 4.33. The market expects the hosts to control the game, which suits the corners angle: sustained Sevilla pressure is exactly what produces a high flag count.
Lucas Boye, five league goals this season, is the obvious danger in the anytime scorer market for the visitors, while Over 2.5 goals appeals given Alavés conceded six at Barcelona last time out. Our preference, though, is Sevilla Over 5.5 corners at 2.20.
Sevilla vs Alavés: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.72 |
| Market average | 1.92 | 3.33 | 4.44 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.43 | 2.31 | 41.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.25 | 22.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.8%.
Sevilla vs Alavés: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
In What Form Are Sevilla and Alavés Coming Into the Match?
Sevilla have five wins, two draws and four defeats from their 11 league games, a record that leaves them sixth on 17 points. They were beaten 3-1 at Getafe last weekend, but their most recent home league fixture was an impressive 2-0 win over Osasuna, and the Ramón Sánchez‑Pizjuán remains a difficult place for travelling sides.
Alavés have taken only two points from their last seven matches and have not won in La Liga since a 5-2 success over Osasuna at the start of September. Last weekend's 6-1 defeat to Barcelona was the low point of that run, leaving the Blue and Whites 11th on 12 points, only two clear of the relegation zone.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Sevilla
Home and away
Sevilla vs Alavés: last matches of both teams
Sevilla
Alavés
Sevilla vs Alavés: Key Pre‑Match Statistics
Alavés concede 4.8 corners per game this season, one of the softer defensive profiles in the division, and that number climbs sharply against top‑half opposition. Sevilla's home wins this term have been built on territorial dominance – the Osasuna game was one‑way traffic for long spells.
Sevilla's 11 league games have produced 17 points and a European place; Alavés have scored freely only once all season (the 5-2 against Osasuna) and have leaked goals ever since, including six in 90 minutes at Barcelona last weekend.
Head to head
All matchesSevilla vs Alavés H2H History
Sevilla lead the historical head‑to‑head with 21 wins from 45 meetings, against 12 victories for Alavés. The most recent clash, in February 2026, ended 1-1.
Recent history favours the visitors more than the table does: Alavés have lost only one of the last seven meetings between the clubs, winning four. That record is a warning for anyone taking the short home price – and another reason we prefer the corners market to the match result.
Sevilla vs Alavés Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players
Sevilla are without midfielder M. Bueno (red card), striker I. Romero (knee injury), and also missing Marcao (muscle injury), Peque (hamstring injury) and M. Sierra (shoulder injury).
Alavés miss M. Rodriguez (ankle injury) but reported no fresh problems after the Barcelona match. Toni Martínez is expected to return to the starting XI, with Lucas Boye – five league goals this term – the main threat in the final third. Final line‑ups are confirmed an hour before kick‑off.
Sevilla vs Alavés: injuries and missing players
Sevilla
- M. Buenored card · will miss the match
- Marcaomuscle injury · will miss the match
- Pequehamstring injury · will miss the match
- I. Romeroknee injury · doubtful
- M. Sierrashoulder injury · doubtful
Alavés
- M. Rodriguezankle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SevillaDLWLDAlavésDLDLLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
When is Sevilla vs Alavés?
The match takes place on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick‑off at 20:00 local time at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez‑Pizjuán, Seville.
What is our Sevilla vs Alavés prediction?
We back Sevilla Over 5.5 corners at 2.20 – Alavés concede 4.8 corners per game and arrive after a 6-1 defeat to Barcelona.
Why not back Sevilla to win?
The hosts are favourites at 1.87, but Alavés have lost only one of the last seven meetings, so the corners market offers the cleaner angle at the bigger price.
Which tip do we give for Sevilla vs Alavés?
Sevilla over 5.5 corners (2.20)
Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?
Our estimate gives Sevilla a 50% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Alavés 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville. Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.43) and under 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.68).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.05).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (14.5%), then 1–1 (12.4%) and 2–0 (10.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.