Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 6–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barcelona welcome Alavés on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Spotify Camp Nou (Barcelona), and the referee is Adrian Cordero Vega. Barcelona (86%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Barcelona vs Alavés: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Barcelona lie 1st, having collected 30 points after 11 matches (10W 0D 1L); Alavés lie 9th, having collected 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Barcelona average 4.0 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.4 for and 1.1 against for Alavés.
- Form in the competition. Barcelona: 9W 0D 1L, goals 40–11; Alavés: 3W 3D 4L, goals 14–11.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Barcelona have taken 15 wins to Alavés's 2 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 51–12.
What to expect
In our view Barcelona hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 3–0 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.13), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.68), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 78%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Barcelona 15 wins, 2 draws, Alavés 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Barcelona 40–11, Alavés 14–11.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
- Unavailable: Barcelona 6, Alavés 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Barcelona: R. Bardghji, A. Christensen, X. Espart, D. Olmo, E. Garcia, J. Kounde. Alavés will be without: F. Garces, M. Rodriguez. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Barcelona vs Alavés: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.13 | 11.20 | 23.00 |
| Market average | 1.11 | 10.48 | 19.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.08 | 8.30 | 12.52 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.04 | 89.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.20 | 78.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.80 | 4.34 | 21.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.57 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.90 | 1.82 | 50.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.89 | 49.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 17:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Barcelona 3–0 Alavés, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Barcelona 1st (30 points), Alavés 9th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Barcelona 9W 0D 1L (40:11), Alavés 3W 3D 4L (14:11).
- H2H: 19 matches: Barcelona 15W 2D 2L, goals 51–12.
- Absences: Barcelona 6, Alavés 2.
Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Barcelona vs Alavés: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Barcelona vs Alavés: injuries and missing players
Barcelona
- R. Bardghjiknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Christensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- X. Espartankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Olmogroin injury · will miss the match
- E. Garciamuscle injury · doubtful
- J. Koundeankle injury · doubtful
Alavés
- F. Garcessuspended · will miss the match
- M. Rodriguezankle injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Barcelona
Home and away
Barcelona vs Alavés: last matches of both teams
Barcelona
Alavés
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BarcelonaWLWWWAlavésDLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Barcelona vs Alavés?
Over 3.5 goals (1.68); Barcelona to win (1.13).
Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés?
Our estimate gives Barcelona a 86% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Alavés 5%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona. Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega.
Who will be missing?
Barcelona: R. Bardghji, A. Christensen, X. Espart, D. Olmo, E. Garcia, J. Kounde. Alavés: F. Garces, M. Rodriguez. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 78% (odds 1.25) and under 2.5 goals at 22% (odds 4.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.90).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (10.3%), then 2–0 (9.1%) and 4–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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