Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1, 21 November 2026, 16:15): Nice +1.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.94. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Nice 16%, the draw 19% and Paris Saint Germain 64%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: Nice win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Nice lose by 1. Loses: Nice lose by 2 or more.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Nice lie 8th, having collected 14 points after 9 matches (4W 2D 3L); Paris Saint Germain lie 1st, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Paris Saint Germain hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 62%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.89). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Nice: no absences. Paris Saint Germain will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 6.32 | 5.24 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.81 | 4.90 | 1.47 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.38 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.96 | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:05. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Nice 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Absences: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: injuries and missing players
Nice
- No reported absences
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Nice
Home and away
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: last matches of both teams
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Nice +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Both teams to score (1.55).
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our estimate gives Nice a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paris Saint Germain 64%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 16:15, venue Allianz Riviera, Nice.
Who will be missing?
Nice: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.40) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.3%) and 1–1 (8.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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