Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Nice vs Rennes, 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Allianz Riviera (Nice), with Eric Wattellier officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Rennes win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Rennes lose.
Nice vs Rennes: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Nice lie 8th, having collected 14 points after 9 matches (4W 2D 3L); Rennes lie 5th, having collected 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Nice average 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 2.3 for and 1.8 against for Rennes.
- Form in the competition. Nice: 3W 2D 3L, goals 8–10; Rennes: 5W 1D 2L, goals 18–14.
- Head to head. In 36 previous meetings, Nice have taken 18 wins to Rennes's 10 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 55–44.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 63%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 36; Nice 18 wins, 8 draws, Rennes 10 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Nice 8–10, Rennes 18–14.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Nice 5, Rennes 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or Rennes (X2)
Another angle: Draw or Rennes (X2) (probability 63%, top price 1.56). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Rennes will be without: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Nice vs Rennes: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.77 | 3.70 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.59 | 3.57 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.46 | 3.31 | 2.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.60 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.32 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Nice 1–1 Rennes, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Nice 3W 2D 3L (8:10), Rennes 5W 1D 2L (18:14).
- H2H: 36 matches: Nice 18W 8D 10L, goals 55–44.
- Absences: Nice 5, Rennes 2.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Nice vs Rennes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Nice vs Rennes: injuries and missing players
Nice
- L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Seiduabsence · will miss the match
- A. Abdimuscle injury · doubtful
Rennes
- E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sambathigh injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Nice
Home and away
Nice vs Rennes: last matches of both teams
Nice
Rennes
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
NiceWWLWWRennesLWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Nice vs Rennes?
Rennes +0 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
Our estimate gives Nice a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rennes 37%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Allianz Riviera, Nice. Referee: Eric Wattellier.
Who will be missing?
Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Rennes: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.67) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 63% (odds 1.53).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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