Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Rennes, 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean Bouin (Paris), with B. Dechepy officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Paris FC win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Paris FC lose.
Paris FC vs Rennes: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Paris FC lie 4th, having collected 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L); Rennes lie 5th, having collected 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
In our view Paris FC hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Paris FC: no absences. Rennes will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Paris FC vs Rennes: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.26 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.52 | 3.33 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.66 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.21 | 42.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.57 | 37.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 13:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Paris FC vs Rennes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
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Correct score tips
Paris FC vs Rennes: injuries and missing players
Paris FC
- No reported absences
Rennes
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3-4-3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3-1-6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris FC
Home and away
Paris FC vs Rennes: last matches of both teams
Paris FC
Rennes
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Paris FC vs Rennes?
Paris FC -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
Our estimate gives Paris FC a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rennes 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 16:15, venue Stade Jean Bouin, Paris. Referee: B. Dechepy.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: no absences. Rennes: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.73) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.2%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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