Our tip for Liverpool vs Manchester United (Premier League, 22 November 2026, 16:30): Manchester United +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.88. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Liverpool 52%, the draw 24% and Manchester United 24%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Manchester United win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Manchester United lose by 1. Loses: Manchester United lose by 2 or more.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Liverpool lie 6th, having collected 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L); Manchester United lie 17th, having collected 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
What to expect
In our view Liverpool hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.86 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.80 | 3.93 | 4.02 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.50 | 3.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.34 | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.40 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.32 | 40.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:23. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 6th (15 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
- Absences: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Liverpool vs Manchester United: injuries and missing players
Liverpool
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Liverpool vs Manchester United: last matches of both teams
Liverpool
Manchester United
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Manchester United +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Our estimate gives Liverpool a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manchester United 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:30, venue Anfield, Liverpool.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.65).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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