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Premier League · Matchweek 11 · 22 November 2026 · 16:30

Liverpool vs Manchester United: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 November 2026, Premier League

1Liverpool1.86
XDraw4.20
2Manchester United4.33

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:23

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Our tip for Liverpool vs Manchester United (Premier League, 22 November 2026, 16:30): Manchester United +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.88. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Liverpool 52%, the draw 24% and Manchester United 24%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Manchester United +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Manchester United win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Manchester United lose by 1. Loses: Manchester United lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.57
Chance 61% · confidence medium
Combo
Liverpool with over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Liverpool or draw (1X) at a probability of 76%, with odds of up to 1.27.
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Liverpool vs Manchester United: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Liverpool lie 6th, having collected 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L); Manchester United lie 17th, having collected 7 points (1W 4D 4L).

What to expect

In our view Liverpool hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
  2. Unavailable: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.864.204.33
Market average1.803.934.02
Lowest odds1.733.503.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.6059.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3440.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.4039.2%
BTTS – yes1.651.5559.9%
BTTS – no2.402.3240.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:23. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Liverpool 6th (15 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
  • Absences: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.

Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Liverpool52%
Draw24%
Manchester United24%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Liverpool vs Manchester United: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.6% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
Liverpool or draw (1X)76.4% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.8% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams to score: yes59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.4% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.65
Possible
Liverpool to win52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.46
Outsider
Both teams to score: no40.1% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.2% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.47
Outsider
Draw24.1% · fair odds 4.16 · best 4.20
Outsider
Manchester United to win23.6% · fair odds 4.24 · best 4.33
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

1 : 110.5%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 08.1%
1 : 26.3%
3 : 16.0%

Liverpool vs Manchester United: injuries and missing players

Liverpool

  • No reported absences

Manchester United

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Everton104-4-212:1016
6Liverpool94-3-211:915
7Brentford93-5-116:914
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry103-0-710:199
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Liverpool

4 NovLFenerbahçe 3–2 Liverpool
1 NovLLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
25 OctWLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
20 OctWLiverpool 4–3 Villarreal
17 OctWBrentford 1–2 Liverpool

Manchester United

3 NovWManchester United 3–2 AS Roma
31 OctLChelsea 2–0 Manchester United
25 OctLManchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
21 OctLComo 4–1 Manchester United
18 OctDLeeds 1–1 Manchester United

Home and away

Liverpool at home5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–6
Manchester United away5 matches: 0W 3D 2L, goals 4–8

Liverpool vs Manchester United: last matches of both teams

Liverpool

L 4/11/26 · Fenerbahçe 3–2 Liverpool
L 1/11/26 · Liverpool 0–1 Arsenal
W 25/10/26 · Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
W 20/10/26 · Liverpool 4–3 Villarreal
W 17/10/26 · Brentford 1–2 Liverpool

Manchester United

W 3/11/26 · Manchester United 3–2 AS Roma
L 31/10/26 · Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United
L 25/10/26 · Manchester United 0–3 Bournemouth
L 21/10/26 · Como 4–1 Manchester United
D 18/10/26 · Leeds 1–1 Manchester United

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Manchester United +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).

Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Our estimate gives Liverpool a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manchester United 24%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:30, venue Anfield, Liverpool.

Who will be missing?

Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.65).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Leeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 NovBrighton vs Brentford 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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