Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Groningen vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie, 21 November 2026, 20:00): Groningen +0 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.69. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45. The bookmakers' odds give Groningen 43%, the draw 24% and Heerenveen 32%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Groningen win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Groningen lose.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Groningen lie 8th, having collected 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L); Heerenveen lie 7th, having collected 18 points (5W 3D 3L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 67% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.81). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Groningen: no absences. Heerenveen will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.22 | 3.98 | 2.95 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.85 | 2.89 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.41 | 66.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.81 | 33.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 46.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.90 | 2.83 | 32.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Groningen 1–1 Heerenveen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Groningen 8th (15 points), Heerenveen 7th (18 points).
- Absences: Groningen 0, Heerenveen 0.
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Groningen vs Heerenveen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Groningen vs Heerenveen: injuries and missing players
Groningen
- No reported absences
Heerenveen
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Groningen
Home and away
Groningen vs Heerenveen: last matches of both teams
Groningen
Heerenveen
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Groningen +0 (Asian handicap) (1.69); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?
Our estimate gives Groningen a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Heerenveen 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Euroborg, Groningen.
Who will be missing?
Groningen: no absences. Heerenveen: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.45) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (9.4%), then 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (7.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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