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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10 · 2 November 2026 · 20:15

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: prediction, odds and betting tip – 2 November 2026, Primeira Liga

0–0
1GIL Vicente3.00
XDraw3.30
2Vitória SC2.63

Top price available · Updated 2/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 2 November 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos), GIL Vicente take on Vitória SC, with Helder Carvalho in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result (even match)
Draw or Vitória SC (X2)
1.44
Chance 67% · confidence high
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. GIL Vicente lie 7th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); Vitória SC lie 13th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, GIL Vicente average 0.9 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.1 against for Vitória SC.
  3. Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 3L, goals 8–7; Vitória SC: 2W 2D 5L, goals 10–10.
  4. Head to head. In 24 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have taken 7 wins to Vitória SC's 10 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 26–37.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.

Worth noting: the league table leans towards the GIL Vicente, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.

On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 24; GIL Vicente 7 wins, 7 draws, Vitória SC 10 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: GIL Vicente 8–7, Vitória SC 10–10.
  4. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
  5. Unavailable: GIL Vicente 0, Vitória SC 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for GIL Vicente: no absences. Vitória SC will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.003.302.63
Market average2.893.142.53
Lowest odds2.803.002.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.3768.6%
Over 2.5 goals2.252.1544.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.6955.9%
Over 3.5 goals4.003.8424.4%
BTTS – yes1.871.8251.1%
BTTS – no2.051.9148.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 2/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: GIL Vicente 1–1 Vitória SC, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: GIL Vicente 7th (15 points), Vitória SC 13th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 3L (8:7), Vitória SC 2W 2D 5L (10:10).
  • H2H: 24 matches: GIL Vicente 7W 7D 10L, goals 26–37.
  • Absences: GIL Vicente 0, Vitória SC 0.

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

GIL Vicente33%
Draw30%
Vitória SC37%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Vitória SC (X2)67.4% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams to score: yes51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams to score: no48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.25
Outsider
Vitória SC to win37.3% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.63
Outsider
GIL Vicente to win32.6% · fair odds 3.06 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.4% · fair odds 4.10 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.08 · Under 1.67
probability of over 44.5%

Correct score tips

1 : 113.0%
0 : 111.3%
1 : 010.4%
0 : 09.1%
1 : 28.2%
2 : 17.5%

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: injuries and missing players

GIL Vicente

  • No reported absences

Vitória SC

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica108-1-127:825
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca116-2-313:820
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente104-3-38:715
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Famalicão113-4-415:1413
11Alverca103-2-513:1411
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC102-3-510:109
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

GIL Vicente

2 NovDGIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
24 OctLGIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
19 OctWSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
9 OctWMoreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo

Vitória SC

2 NovDGIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
23 OctWVitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
11 OctLBenfica 2–0 Vitória SC
20 SeptDVitória SC 1–1 Moreirense
12 SeptLAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Home and away

GIL Vicente at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 4–3
Vitória SC away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–8

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: last matches of both teams

GIL Vicente

L 24/10/26 · GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
W 19/10/26 · SC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
W 9/10/26 · Moreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente
D 19/9/26 · GIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo

Vitória SC

W 23/10/26 · Vitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
L 11/10/26 · Benfica 2–0 Vitória SC
D 20/9/26 · Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense
L 12/9/26 · Académico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Team comparison

GIL VicenteVitória SC
58%Form42%
42%Attack58%
45%Defence55%
7%Head to head93%
10%Goals90%
40.3%Overall59.7%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

GIL VicenteDLWWD
Vitória SCDWLDL

Head to head

All matches
7GIL Vicente
7Draws
10Vitória SC
2/11/26 · GIL Vicente 0–0 Vitória SC
18/4/26 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC
8/12/25 · Vitória SC 0–0 GIL Vicente
11/4/25 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC
2/12/24 · Vitória SC 4–0 GIL Vicente
8/2/24 · Vitória SC 3–1 GIL Vicente

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

Under 2.5 goals (1.75); Draw or Vitória SC (X2) (1.44).

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

Our estimate gives GIL Vicente a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Vitória SC 37%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 2 November 2026 at 20:15, venue Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: Helder Carvalho.

Who will be missing?

GIL Vicente: no absences. Vitória SC: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.25) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.87).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–0 (10.4%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Nacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovAlverca vs Casa Pia 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 NovEstoril vs Marítimo 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.