Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 24 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos), GIL Vicente take on FC Porto, with L. M. Branco Godinho in charge. We make FC Porto (65%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: GIL Vicente win, a draw, GIL Vicente lose by 1. Loses: GIL Vicente lose by 2 or more.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. GIL Vicente lie 7th, having collected 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L); FC Porto lie 1st, having collected 30 points (10W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, GIL Vicente average 1.0 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 2.5 for and 0.5 against for FC Porto.
- Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 2L, goals 8–6; FC Porto: 8W 0D 0L, goals 20–4.
- Head to head. In 26 previous meetings, GIL Vicente have taken 5 wins to FC Porto's 18 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 19–49.
What to expect
In our view FC Porto hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (13.1%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score: no (odds 1.73), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 46%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 26; GIL Vicente 5 wins, 3 draws, FC Porto 18 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: GIL Vicente 8–6, FC Porto 20–4.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.94). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for GIL Vicente: no absences. FC Porto will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 7.50 | 4.67 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 7.11 | 4.41 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.21 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.06 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 18:02. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: GIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: GIL Vicente 7th (15 points), FC Porto 1st (30 points).
- Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 2L (8:6), FC Porto 8W 0D 0L (20:4).
- H2H: 26 matches: GIL Vicente 5W 3D 18L, goals 19–49.
- Absences: GIL Vicente 0, FC Porto 0.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: injuries and missing players
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6-2-3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicão | 11 | 3-4-4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
GIL Vicente
Home and away
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto: last matches of both teams
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
GIL VicenteDLWWDFC PortoWWWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
GIL Vicente +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.67); Both teams to score: no (1.73).
Who will win GIL Vicente vs FC Porto?
Our estimate gives GIL Vicente a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Porto 65%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 20:30, venue Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho.
Who will be missing?
GIL Vicente: no absences. FC Porto: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.94) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 46% (odds 2.06).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (13.1%), then 0–2 (12.8%) and 1–1 (9.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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