Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Fiorentina vs Juventus (Serie A, 8 November 2026, 19:45): Fiorentina +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.66. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.67. The bookmakers' odds give Fiorentina 28%, the draw 27% and Juventus 45%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Fiorentina win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Fiorentina lose by 1. Loses: Fiorentina lose by 2 or more.
Fiorentina vs Juventus preview and prediction
Can Fiorentina lose to Juventus and still keep the bet alive? That is the question we keep coming back to for the Serie A Matchweek 11 meeting at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence on 8 November 2026, kick-off 19:45.
The key facts
- Likely result: Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Fiorentina 16th (8 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Fiorentina 2W 2D 6L (15:23), Juventus 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
- H2H: 34 matches: Fiorentina 6W 9D 19L, goals 29–47.
- Absences: Fiorentina 1, Juventus 0.
Fiorentina sit 16th, Juventus seventh
The table tells the first half of the story. Fiorentina are 16th with 8 points from 10 matches in this competition, and Juventus are seventh with 17. The gap is clear, and the home record explains a lot of it: Fiorentina have 0 wins at home this season, with 2 draws and 3 defeats, and they have scored 5 and conceded 11 in those five games. Juventus have been better away, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, and a goal record of 6:6 on the road.
The recent form is a different picture, and it is all competitions, not just this table. Fiorentina's last five are 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 11 conceded. Their most recent result was a 4-2 win away at Sassuolo on 2 November. Juventus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last five, with 6 scored and 7 conceded. They beat Napoli 2-0 at home on 1 November.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Fiorentina
Home and away
Both sides concede often, and the numbers agree
In Fiorentina's last five, both teams scored in every match and more than 2.5 goals went in each time. That is the most useful detail in their run, and it is the one we keep returning to. Juventus's last five look more controlled: both teams scored in just 1 of those matches and more than 2.5 goals came in 2 of them. Neither side kept a clean sheet often enough to be called solid, though Juventus did keep no goal conceded in 2 of their last five.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
The head-to-head favours Juventus, but not by a mile
Over the last 34 meetings Juventus have won 19, Fiorentina 6, and 9 have ended level. Juventus have scored 47 goals to Fiorentina's 29 across those games. The recent meetings are more mixed. Fiorentina won 2-0 at Juventus on 17 May 2026, beat them 3-0 on 16 March 2025 and drew 1-1 on 22 November 2025. Juventus won 1-0 at home in April 2024 and 1-0 at Fiorentina in November 2023. So the history is not one-sided, and the most recent Florence meeting in this list was a draw.
Head to head
All matchesSottil is out, and nobody else is reported missing
Fiorentina will be without R. Sottil. No absences are reported for Juventus. For a side already short of wins at home, one missing name is not a disaster.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: injuries and missing players
Fiorentina
- R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match
Juventus
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FiorentinaWDLLLJuventusWLWLDThe market likes Juventus, and the handicap lines show the prices
The bookmakers' chances are Fiorentina 27%, draw 27%, Juventus 46%, with a margin of 6.3% on the match result. Expected goals are Fiorentina 1, Juventus 2, about 3 in total. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 11.7%, 0-1 at 9.7% and 1-2 at 9.3%. Those are what the market expects, not a forecast we are putting our name to.
On the Asian handicap, the line that matters most to us is Fiorentina +0.75 at 1.66, which the market prices at 60%. Juventus -0.75 is at 2.48. The market is clearly leaning towards Juventus, but the handicap gives Fiorentina enough room to make the bet a sensible one.
Our Fiorentina vs Juventus betting tip: Fiorentina +0.75
We are backing Fiorentina +0.75 at odds 1.66, with a market chance of 60%. The market gives it 60% at best odds 1.66, and that is the whole of our case. We are not claiming Fiorentina will win, and we would not back them to win outright at 3.70. The bet does not need that. It is a half-and-half stake: half on Fiorentina +0.5 and half on Fiorentina +1.
How it settles on the likeliest scores (home-away): 1-1 wins; 0-1 half lost (half the stake back); 1-2 half lost (half the stake back); 0-2 loses; 1-0 wins; 2-1 wins.
The danger is a two-goal defeat, which costs the full stake. That is the risk we are taking, and we think it is a reasonable one given the market's price.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Our second tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.67, with a market chance of 57%. Both teams scored in 5 of Fiorentina's last 5 matches, Fiorentina scored in every one of those games (no goal scored in 0), and the expected total is about 3 goals. The market gives it 57% at best odds 1.67.
How it settles on the likeliest scores (home-away): 1-1 wins; 0-1 loses; 1-2 wins; 0-2 loses; 1-0 loses; 2-1 wins.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: last matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Juventus
Other bets we would consider
- Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian handicap) at 1.28, market chance 75%. The bet wins unless Fiorentina lose by 2 or more. It fits the main tip and needs only a one-goal defeat to stay alive.
- Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, market chance 76%. A safe price for a match the market expects to see at least two goals.
- Under 3.5 goals at 1.42, market chance 67%. The expected total of about 3 goals sits inside this line, and we are happy to take the shorter price.
Verdict: a tight price on a side that can still score
We like Fiorentina +0.75 at 1.66 and we would not chase Juventus at the short prices on the handicap. Juventus are the better side on the table and the market knows it. Our bet is that the handicap gives Fiorentina enough cushion to make the result of a one-goal defeat acceptable, and that the two-goal defeat, which loses the full stake, is the outcome the bookmakers are charging us to avoid. Back the handicap, keep the stake modest, and take the both-teams-to-score price if you want a second angle on a game that has produced goals in most of Fiorentina's recent matches.
Fiorentina vs Juventus: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.70 | 3.70 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.38 | 3.50 | 2.11 |
| Lowest odds | 2.95 | 3.12 | 2.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.79 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.05 | 46.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.90 | 32.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.18 | 42.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:55. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Fiorentina +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.66); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Our estimate gives Fiorentina a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventus 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Who will be missing?
Fiorentina: R. Sottil. Juventus: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.84) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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