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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14 · 21 November 2026 · 17:45

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: prediction, odds and betting tip – 21 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Dundee4.40
XDraw4.30
2Heart Of Midlothian1.70

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:18

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Our tip for Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian (Scottish Premiership, 21 November 2026, 17:45): Dundee +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.50. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Dundee 22%, the draw 23% and Heart Of Midlothian 55%. The most likely score is 1–2.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Dundee +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.50
Chance 65% · confidence medium

Wins: Dundee win, a draw, Dundee lose by 1. Loses: Dundee lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Heart Of Midlothian with over 2.5 goals
2.52
40% · combo fair odds
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2) at a probability of 78%, with odds of up to 1.23.
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Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Dundee lie 5th, having collected 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L); Heart Of Midlothian lie 3rd, having collected 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In 35 previous meetings, Dundee have taken 11 wins to Heart Of Midlothian's 21 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 33–60.

What to expect

In our view Heart Of Midlothian hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–2 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 35; Dundee 11 wins, 3 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 21 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
  4. Unavailable: Dundee 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Dundee: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available4.404.301.70
Market average4.274.061.69
Lowest odds4.203.801.67
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1580.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5161.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.522.4338.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.352.2941.3%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.1%
BTTS – no2.392.3239.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:18. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Dundee 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
  • H2H: 35 matches: Dundee 11W 3D 21L, goals 33–60.
  • Absences: Dundee 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Who will win Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Dundee22%
Draw23%
Heart Of Midlothian55%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.9% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2)78.2% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.23
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Both teams to score: yes60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Heart Of Midlothian to win55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.35
Outsider
Both teams to score: no39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.39
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.52
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.30
Outsider
Dundee to win21.8% · fair odds 4.58 · best 4.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

1 : 29.8%
1 : 19.8%
0 : 28.2%
0 : 18.2%
1 : 36.5%
2 : 25.9%

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: injuries and missing players

Dundee

  • No reported absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee United114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Dundee

28 OctWDundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
24 OctLST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWFalkirk 1–2 Dundee
19 SeptWDundee 2–1 Motherwell

Heart Of Midlothian

5 NovLFC Thun 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Home and away

Dundee at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 11–7
Heart Of Midlothian away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–13

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: last matches of both teams

Dundee

W 28/10/26 · Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
L 24/10/26 · ST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
D 17/10/26 · Dundee 2–2 Rangers
W 10/10/26 · Falkirk 1–2 Dundee
W 19/9/26 · Dundee 2–1 Motherwell

Heart Of Midlothian

L 5/11/26 · FC Thun 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
D 28/10/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
W 25/10/26 · Motherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
L 22/10/26 · Trabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
L 18/10/26 · Celtic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Head to head

All matches
11Dundee
3Draws
21Heart Of Midlothian
6/9/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee
21/3/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee
11/1/26 · Dundee 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian
1/11/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee
26/4/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee
7/3/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Dundee +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our estimate gives Dundee a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heart Of Midlothian 55%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Dens Park, Dundee.

Who will be missing?

Dundee: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.52).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–2 (9.8%), then 1–1 (9.8%) and 0–2 (8.2%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee United vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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